Epistemological Equation for Analysing Uncontrollable States in Complex Systems: Quantifying Cyber Risks from the Internet of Things

Petar Radanliev, David De Roure, Pete Burnap, Omar Santos
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Abstract

To enable quantitative risk assessment of uncontrollable risk states in complex and coupled IoT systems, a new epistemological equation is designed and tested though comparative and empirical analysis. The comparative analysis is conducted on national digital strategies, followed by an empirical analysis of cyber risk assessment approaches. The new epistemological analysis approach enables the assessment of uncontrollable risk states in complex IoT systems, which begin to resemble artificial intelligence, and can be used for a quantitative self-assessment of IoT cyber risk posture.
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分析复杂系统中不可控状态的认识论方程:量化物联网的网络风险
为了能够对复杂和耦合的物联网系统的不可控风险状态进行定量风险评估,设计了一个新的认识论方程,并通过比较和实证分析进行了测试。对国家数字战略进行了比较分析,然后对网络风险评估方法进行了实证分析。新的认识论分析方法能够评估复杂物联网系统中不可控的风险状态,这些系统开始类似于人工智能,并可用于物联网网络风险态势的定量自我评估。
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