Conservative News Media and Criminal Justice: Evidence from Exposure to Fox News Channel

Elliott Ash, Michael Poyker
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Abstract

Local exposure to conservative news causes judges to impose harsher criminal sentences. Our evidence comes from an instrumental variables analysis, where randomness in television channel positioning across localities induces exogenous variation in exposure to Fox News Channel. These treatment data on news viewership are taken to outcomes data on almost 7 million criminal sentencing decisions in the United States for the years 2005-2017. Higher Fox News viewership increases incarceration length, and the effect is stronger for black defendants and for drug-related crimes. We can rule out changes in the behavior of police, prosecutors, or potential offenders as significant drivers. Consistent with changes in voter attitudes as the key mechanism, the effect on sentencing harshness is observed for elected (but not appointed) judges. Fox News viewership also increases self-reported beliefs about the importance of drug crime as a social problem.
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保守派新闻媒体与刑事司法:接触福克斯新闻频道的证据
地方对保守新闻的接触会导致法官做出更严厉的刑事判决。我们的证据来自工具变量分析,即各地电视频道定位的随机性会诱发福克斯新闻频道收视率的外生变化。这些关于新闻收视率的处理数据与 2005-2017 年美国近 700 万项刑事判决的结果数据相匹配。福克斯新闻频道收视率越高,监禁时间越长,对黑人被告和毒品相关犯罪的影响越大。我们可以排除警察、检察官或潜在罪犯的行为变化是重要驱动因素的可能性。与作为关键机制的选民态度变化相一致的是,民选法官(而非任命法官)也受到了量刑严厉性的影响。福克斯新闻的收视率也增加了人们对毒品犯罪作为社会问题的重要性的自我报告信念。
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