Estimating the potential distribution of yellow spotted stink bug (Erthesina fullo) using ecological niche models

IF 0.7 4区 农林科学 Q4 ENTOMOLOGY Entomological Science Pub Date : 2023-12-11 DOI:10.1111/ens.12566
Gengping Zhu, Tatiana N. Bush, Katherine S. Burgstahler, Nathaniel Green, Hannah Cook, Emily Rampone, Salena Helmreich, Riley M. Reed, Joshua M. Milnes, David W. Crowder
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Abstract

Invasive insect species threaten the productivity of ecosystems worldwide, and ecological niche models can be used to predict distributions of invaders and guide management efforts. Ecological niche models can also aid monitoring for invasive species that are globally distributed. One such species is the yellow spotted stink bug (Erthesina fullo Thunberg), a polyphagous pest native to Asia that has established in Europe and South America and threatens specialty crops. Here, we used ecological niche models to predict the potential distribution of E. fullo, and created a website to display predictions. We show that E. fullo has peak occurrence probability in areas with annual mean temperatures around 20°C, and that the occurrence probability increases as maximum monthly temperature reaches up to 38°C. The likelihood of occurrence decreased as annual precipitation increased, but increased with greater precipitation in the wettest and driest months. This suggests E. fullo is most suited to regions that are warm and dry and where most precipitation occurs across only a few months, such as southern North America, central and southern South America, southern Europe, southern Africa, and central and eastern Australia. Given that E. fullo is a highly mobile hitchhiking insect that travels through cargo and other containers to new areas, the potential spread of this species into new regions should be carefully monitored.

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利用生态位模型估算黄斑蝽的潜在分布范围
入侵昆虫物种威胁着全球生态系统的生产力,生态位模型可用于预测入侵者的分布并指导管理工作。生态位模型还可以帮助监测全球分布的入侵物种。黄斑蝽(Erthesina fullo Thunberg)就是这样一种物种,它是一种原产于亚洲的多食性害虫,已在欧洲和南美洲定居,并威胁到特种作物。在这里,我们使用生态位模型来预测黄斑蝽的潜在分布,并创建了一个网站来展示预测结果。我们的研究表明,在年平均气温为20°C左右的地区,富楼罗的发生概率达到峰值,而当月最高气温达到38°C时,发生概率会增加。发生概率随着年降水量的增加而降低,但随着最潮湿和最干燥月份降水量的增加而增加。这表明富楼罗最适合生长在温暖干燥、大部分降水仅出现在几个月的地区,如北美洲南部、南美洲中部和南部、欧洲南部、非洲南部以及澳大利亚中部和东部。鉴于富罗翅蝇是一种流动性很强的搭便车昆虫,会通过货物和其他容器到达新的地区,因此应仔细监测该物种向新地区扩散的可能性。
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来源期刊
Entomological Science
Entomological Science 生物-昆虫学
CiteScore
2.00
自引率
11.10%
发文量
30
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: Entomological Science is the official English language journal of the Entomological Society of Japan. The Journal publishes original research papers and reviews from any entomological discipline or from directly allied field in ecology, behavioral biology, physiology, biochemistry, development, genetics, systematics, morphology, evolution and general entomology. Papers of applied entomology will be considered for publication if they significantly advance in the field of entomological science in the opinion of the Editors and Editorial Board.
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