A Bayesian network-based tool for crisis classification in piracy or armed robbery incidents on passenger ships

N. Ventikos, A. Koimtzoglou, Alexandros Michelis, Angeliki Stouraiti, Ioannis Kopsacheilis, Vassilis Podimatas
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Abstract

Piracy and armed robbery continue to pose significant security threats to the shipping industry. This paper presents a real-time threat assessment and crisis classification tool for piracy or armed robbery incidents. The tool is part of a crisis classification module that addresses various categories of security threats. This module is currently being developed as part of the EU-funded research project ISOLA, which aims to introduce an intelligent security superintendence ecosystem. The ecosystem is designed to complement the existing ship security processes and measures applied onboard passenger ships. The tool operates by providing real-time threat classification and subsequent warnings by analysing data collected from the ship’s legacy systems and installed sensors with the utilisation of Bayesian probabilistic techniques, particularly Bayesian Networks. The BN model developed for this purpose is thoroughly examined, and its validation is presented through indicative case studies involving piracy and armed robbery. The main objective is to improve situational awareness, enhance vigilance and early threat detection, and support the decision-making process for the Master and crew, especially under time-sensitive circumstances and stressful conditions.
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基于贝叶斯网络的客轮海盗或持械抢劫事件危机分类工具
海盗和武装抢劫继续对航运业构成重大安全威胁。提出了一种针对海盗或武装抢劫事件的实时威胁评估和危机分类工具。该工具是危机分类模块的一部分,该模块处理各种类型的安全威胁。该模块目前正在作为欧盟资助的研究项目ISOLA的一部分开发,该项目旨在引入智能安全监管生态系统。该生态系统旨在补充客船上应用的现有船舶安全流程和措施。该工具利用贝叶斯概率技术,特别是贝叶斯网络,通过分析从船上遗留系统和安装的传感器收集的数据,提供实时威胁分类和后续警告。为此目的开发的BN模型进行了彻底检查,并通过涉及海盗和武装抢劫的指示性案例研究提出了其有效性。主要目标是改善态势感知,增强警惕性和早期威胁检测,并支持船长和船员的决策过程,特别是在时间敏感的环境和压力条件下。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.90
自引率
11.10%
发文量
77
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: The Journal of Engineering for the Maritime Environment is concerned with the design, production and operation of engineering artefacts for the maritime environment. The journal straddles the traditional boundaries of naval architecture, marine engineering, offshore/ocean engineering, coastal engineering and port engineering.
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