Unraveling unemployment hysteresis in Nordic countries: a multifaceted analysis of age, gender and frequency differentials

IF 4.6 3区 管理学 Q1 INDUSTRIAL RELATIONS & LABOR International Journal of Manpower Pub Date : 2023-12-22 DOI:10.1108/ijm-03-2023-0147
Veli Yılancı, Mustafa Kırca, Şeri̇f Canbay, Muhlis Selman Sağlam
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Abstract

Purpose

This study aims to test the unemployment hysteresis hypothesis for Nordic countries by considering age and gender differentials at various frequencies.

Design/methodology/approach

First, the authors test the linearity of the unemployment series and apply appropriate unit root tests based on the linearity test results. The authors use these tests for both original and wavelet-decomposed unemployment rates.

Findings

The authors' findings indicate that the results obtained from the original and decomposed series differ. While the authors find evidence of unemployment hysteresis in the six unemployment rates in the short run, they observe supportive results for hysteresis in the three unemployment rates in the long run.

Originality/value

The authors take into account different age and gender groups. Furthermore, the authors propose a testing strategy for unemployment hysteresis that considers the nonlinearity and structural breaks in unemployment rates. Finally, the authors determine whether the unemployment hysteresis is valid at various frequencies.

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解读北欧国家的失业滞后现象:对年龄、性别和频率差异的多方面分析
目的本研究旨在通过考虑不同频率下的年龄和性别差异,检验北欧国家的失业滞后假说。作者对原始失业率和小波分解后的失业率都进行了这些检验。研究结果作者的研究结果表明,原始失业率序列和分解后的失业率序列得出的结果有所不同。虽然作者在短期的六个失业率中发现了失业滞后的证据,但他们在长期的三个失业率中观察到了支持滞后的结果。此外,作者还提出了一种检验失业滞后的策略,该策略考虑了失业率的非线性和结构性断裂。最后,作者确定了失业滞后在不同频率下是否有效。
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CiteScore
8.40
自引率
11.40%
发文量
80
期刊介绍: ■Employee welfare ■Human aspects during the introduction of technology ■Human resource recruitment, retention and development ■National and international aspects of HR planning ■Objectives of human resource planning and forecasting requirements ■The working environment
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