Factors influencing the 5-year survival rate of oral cancer patients in the Mongolian population: a retrospective cohort study

Oyuntsetseg Davaatsend, Munkhdul Altannamar, Badral Batbayar, Urjinlkham Jagdagsuren
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Abstract

The high mortality rate of head and neck cancers, particularly oral cancer, poses a significant health challenge in developing nations such as Mongolia. This retrospective survival analysis study was conducted to identify factors influencing the 5-year survival rate of oral squamous cell carcinoma patients.The study analyzed data from 173 patients diagnosed with oral squamous cell carcinoma, including multiple variables such as age, gender, residence, education, tobacco and alcohol consumption, oral health indicators, family history, precancerous conditions, cancer characteristics, treatment, rehabilitation, cancer recurrence, and 5-year survival. Survival analysis was conducted using the Kaplan–Meier method, and STATA was used for statistical analysis.The study revealed a 5-year survival rate of 50.3% for oral cancer patients, with a survival rate of 38% for tongue cancer patients. Age, residence, cancer stage, and cancer recurrence were identified as significant survival predictors. Compared to those aged 60 or younger, the hazard ratio (HR) for patients aged 61 or older was 1.52. Survival was associated with female gender (HR = 0.47, CI = 0.29–0.77). Urban residence was associated with decreased survival (HR = 1.92, CI = 1.22–3.05). Significantly worse survival was associated with the presence of cancer recurrence (HR = 1.99, CI = 1.15–3.04). Oral cancer patients in stage IV had a fourfold higher risk of mortality compared to those in stage I (HR = 4.08, CI = 1.2–13.84).This research highlights the influence of age, urban habitation, and cancer recurrence on oral cancer survival. Age, urban residence, and cancer recurrence were all associated with decreased survival, whereas cancer at stage IV substantially increased the risk of death. The significance of early detection, treatment, and active surveillance to identify oral cancer at an early stage is highlighted by these findings. Compared to industrialized nations, Mongolia's lower oral cancer survival rates emphasize the need to increase public awareness and education. A comprehensive approach is required to improve oral cancer patient survival rates and quality of life, including emphasizing early detection through active surveillance, implementing preventive measures, and advancing cancer education initiatives.
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影响蒙古口腔癌患者 5 年生存率的因素:一项回顾性队列研究
头颈部癌症,尤其是口腔癌的高死亡率给蒙古等发展中国家的健康带来了巨大挑战。这项回顾性生存分析研究旨在找出影响口腔鳞状细胞癌患者5年生存率的因素。研究分析了173名确诊为口腔鳞状细胞癌患者的数据,包括年龄、性别、居住地、教育程度、烟酒消费、口腔健康指标、家族史、癌前病变、癌症特征、治疗、康复、癌症复发和5年生存率等多个变量。研究显示,口腔癌患者的 5 年生存率为 50.3%,舌癌患者的 5 年生存率为 38%。研究发现,年龄、居住地、癌症分期和癌症复发是预测生存率的重要因素。与 60 岁或以下的患者相比,61 岁或以上患者的危险比(HR)为 1.52。生存率与女性性别相关(HR = 0.47,CI = 0.29-0.77)。城市居民与生存率下降有关(HR = 1.92,CI = 1.22-3.05)。生存率明显降低与癌症复发有关(HR = 1.99,CI = 1.15-3.04)。与处于 I 期的患者相比,处于 IV 期的口腔癌患者的死亡风险高出四倍(HR = 4.08,CI = 1.2-13.84)。年龄、城市居住地和癌症复发都与生存率下降有关,而处于 IV 期的癌症则大大增加了死亡风险。这些研究结果凸显了早期发现、治疗和积极监测以在早期阶段识别口腔癌的重要性。与工业化国家相比,蒙古的口腔癌存活率较低,这强调了提高公众意识和教育的必要性。要提高口腔癌患者的存活率和生活质量,需要采取综合方法,包括强调通过积极监测进行早期检测、实施预防措施和推进癌症教育活动。
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