Interpretable Machine Learning Using Partial Linear Models*

IF 1.4 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics Pub Date : 2023-12-28 DOI:10.1111/obes.12592
Emmanuel Flachaire, Sullivan Hué, Sébastien Laurent, Gilles Hacheme
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Abstract

Despite their high predictive performance, random forest and gradient boosting are often considered as black boxes which has raised concerns from practitioners and regulators. As an alternative, we suggest using partial linear models that are inherently interpretable. Specifically, we propose to combine parametric and non-parametric functions to accurately capture linearities and non-linearities prevailing between dependent and explanatory variables, and a variable selection procedure to control for overfitting issues. Estimation relies on a two-step procedure building upon the double residual method. We illustrate the predictive performance and interpretability of our approach on a regression problem.

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使用偏线性模型进行可解释的机器学习*
尽管随机森林和梯度提升技术具有很高的预测性能,但它们通常被视为黑盒子,这引起了从业人员和监管机构的担忧。作为替代方案,我们建议使用本质上可解释的部分线性模型。具体来说,我们建议结合参数和非参数函数,以准确捕捉因变量和解释变量之间普遍存在的线性和非线性关系,并采用变量选择程序来控制过拟合问题。估算依赖于建立在双重残差法基础上的两步程序。我们在一个回归问题上说明了我们的方法的预测性能和可解释性。
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来源期刊
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 管理科学-统计学与概率论
CiteScore
5.10
自引率
0.00%
发文量
54
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Whilst the Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics publishes papers in all areas of applied economics, emphasis is placed on the practical importance, theoretical interest and policy-relevance of their substantive results, as well as on the methodology and technical competence of the research. Contributions on the topical issues of economic policy and the testing of currently controversial economic theories are encouraged, as well as more empirical research on both developed and developing countries.
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