Exploring Book-Tax Differences, Analyst Coverage, and Forecast Optimism: An Empirical Study

Xiaoli Yuan, Wenguang Lin
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Abstract

This research explores the relationship between book-tax differences (BTD) and the coverage of financial analysts, as well as how these two factors relate to optimistic forecasts. By evaluating how BTD affects analyst coverage, this research expands on earlier studies and finds a negative link. Additionally, it demonstrates that greater BTD indicates a higher probability of earnings manipulation, leading analysts to have a more pessimistic view of their predictions for such organizations. This research contributes to a better understanding of financial markets by shedding light on analyst behavior, financial reporting, and the complex dynamics underlying BTD in determining analyst estimates.
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探索账面税率差异、分析师覆盖率和预测乐观度:实证研究
本研究探讨了账面税率差异(BTD)与金融分析师覆盖率之间的关系,以及这两个因素与乐观预测之间的关系。通过评估 BTD 如何影响分析师的覆盖面,本研究扩展了之前的研究,发现两者之间存在负相关。此外,研究还表明,BTD 越大,表明盈利操纵的可能性越大,从而导致分析师对此类组织的预测持更加悲观的态度。这项研究揭示了分析师行为、财务报告以及 BTD 在决定分析师估算时的复杂动态,有助于更好地理解金融市场。
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