Proposal for a New Sports Talent Identification System Based on the Tracking Phenomenon of Height

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Abstract

In sports talent discovery in Japan, a system has been built to effectively support athletes with contact maintained between regional and central sports organizations. However, while a certain effect has been achieved with this system, much still depends on tacit knowledge. That is, a discovery system based on scientific evidence has not yet been established. The system is especially lagging in terms of approaches from the field of growth and development research. The only such approach, as found by Fujii, is that height and athletic ability are independent phenomena, and if one wants to discover exceptional sports talent it is necessary to think about height and athletic ability independently. In this study, we attempted to analyze the tracking of tall and short heights in the junior (school-age) period from the perspective of physical growth science, by applying the application of the wavelet interpolation model. The results showed that a tracking phenomenon is seen with a high probability (about 90%) for both tall and short heights. This makes it possible to identify who will be tall and short in the future. Assessing the athletic ability of tall and short people independently and proposing a system that screens for people with high athletic ability can contribute to building a new system for the discovery of sports talent.
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基于身高跟踪现象的新型体育人才识别系统提案
在日本的体育人才发掘方面,已经建立了一套系统,通过地区和中央体育组织之间的联系,为运动员提供有效支持。然而,虽然这一系统取得了一定的效果,但在很大程度上仍依赖于隐性知识。也就是说,基于科学证据的发现系统尚未建立。尤其是在成长与发展研究领域,这一体系的方法还很滞后。藤井发现的唯一一种方法是,身高和运动能力是独立的现象,如果要发现特殊的体育人才,就必须对身高和运动能力进行独立思考。在本研究中,我们试图从身体成长学的角度,通过应用小波插值模型,分析初中(学龄)时期高矮身高的跟踪现象。结果表明,高矮身高出现跟踪现象的概率很高(约 90%)。因此,可以确定哪些人将来会成为高个子和矮个子。对高个子和矮个子的运动能力进行独立评估,并提出一种筛选运动能力强的人的系统,有助于建立一种发现体育人才的新系统。
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