Regularization and L-curves in ice sheet inverse models: a case study in the Filchner–Ronne catchment

M. Wolovick, A. Humbert, T. Kleiner, M. Rückamp
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Abstract

Abstract. Over the past 3 decades, inversions for ice sheet basal drag have become commonplace in glaciological modeling. Such inversions require regularization to prevent over-fitting and ensure that the structure they recover is a robust inference from the observations, confidence which is required if they are to be used to draw conclusions about processes and properties of the ice base. While L-curve analysis can be used to select the optimal regularization level, the treatment of L-curve analysis in glaciological inverse modeling has been highly variable. Building on the history of glaciological inverse modeling, we demonstrate general best practices for regularizing glaciological inverse problems, using a domain in the Filchner–Ronne catchment of Antarctica as our test bed. We show a step-by-step approach to cost function normalization and L-curve analysis. We explore the spatial and spectral characteristics of the solution as a function of regularization, and we test the sensitivity of L-curve analysis and regularization to model resolution, effective pressure, sliding nonlinearity, and the flow equation. We find that the optimal regularization level converges towards a finite non-zero limit in the continuous problem, associated with a best knowable basal drag field. Nonlinear sliding laws outperform linear sliding in our analysis, with both a lower total variance and a more sharply cornered L-curve. By contrast, geometry-based approximations for effective pressure degrade inversion performance when added to a sliding law, but an actual hydrology model may marginally improve performance in some cases. Our results with 3D inversions suggest that the additional model complexity may not be justified by the 2D nature of the surface velocity data. We conclude with recommendations for best practices in future glaciological inversions.
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冰盖反演模型中的正则化和 L 型曲线:Filchner-Ronne 流域案例研究
摘要。在过去的 30 年中,冰盖基底阻力的反演在冰川学建模中已司空见惯。这种反演需要正则化,以防止过度拟合,并确保其恢复的结构是对观测结果的可靠推断。虽然 L 曲线分析可用于选择最佳正则化水平,但在冰川学反演建模中对 L 曲线分析的处理一直存在很大差异。在冰川学反演建模历史的基础上,我们以南极 Filchner-Ronne 流域为试验平台,展示了正则化冰川学反演问题的一般最佳实践。我们展示了成本函数归一化和 L 曲线分析的逐步方法。我们探索了求解的空间和频谱特征与正则化的函数关系,并测试了 L 曲线分析和正则化对模型分辨率、有效压力、滑动非线性和流动方程的敏感性。我们发现,在连续问题中,最佳正则化水平趋近于有限的非零极限,与最佳可知基底阻力场相关联。在我们的分析中,非线性滑动规律优于线性滑动规律,其总方差更小,L 曲线的拐角更明显。相比之下,基于几何的有效压力近似值在加入滑动定律后会降低反演性能,但在某些情况下,实际水文模型可能会略微提高反演性能。我们的三维反演结果表明,地表速度数据的二维性质可能无法证明增加模型复杂性的合理性。最后,我们对未来冰川学反演的最佳实践提出了建议。
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