The Use of Survival Analysis Modelling with Incomplete Data with Application to Breast Cancer

M. Raza, Mark Broom
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Abstract

There are strong survival analysis methodologies for data sets which are complete, with accurate information on censoring. But what if they are not complete? In an earlier paper we built a methodology for estimating survival probabilities and hazard functions in a health setting, using breast cancer data from the Kurdistan region of Iraq, for censored and uncensored data when a substantial portion of individuals are lost to the study. In this paper we build on these models to consider further issues based upon the accuracy of the records of patient death, where deaths often occur beyond the hospital in family settings and patients ceasing treatment and contact with the hospital may or may not represent their death; thus the record of their time of death may not be accurate. We develop a new Markov chain-based methodology for generating survival curves and hazard functions, and demonstrate this using a different breast cancer dataset from the Kurdistan region of Iraq.
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利用不完整数据建立生存分析模型在乳腺癌中的应用
对于完整的数据集和准确的普查信息,有很强的生存分析方法。但如果数据不完整呢?在早前的一篇论文中,我们利用伊拉克库尔德斯坦地区的乳腺癌数据,建立了一种方法,用于估计健康环境中的生存概率和危险函数,当有相当一部分个体在研究中死亡时,可用于有删减和无删减数据。在本文中,我们将在这些模型的基础上进一步考虑病人死亡记录的准确性问题,因为病人的死亡往往发生在医院以外的家庭环境中,病人停止治疗和与医院的联系可能代表也可能不代表他们的死亡,因此他们的死亡时间记录可能并不准确。我们开发了一种基于马尔可夫链的新方法来生成生存曲线和危险函数,并使用伊拉克库尔德斯坦地区的不同乳腺癌数据集进行了演示。
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