Forecasting the key parameters of socio-economic development of the Republic of Bashkortostan

N. Trofimova, E. Mamleeva, Z. Ishnazarova
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Abstract

Subject. This article examines the issues related to the adaptation of households and the business sector to changing conditions of the internal and external environment. Objectives. The article aims to analyze the indicators fixed in the basic version of the forecast of socio-economic development of the Republic of Bashkortostan for the coming years. Methods. For the study, we used a statistical analysis. Results. The article finds that the forecast values of the indicator Real Disposable Income of the Population in the event of increased instability in foreign markets and depreciation of the national currency in the medium term may not be achieved. Labor productivity is a key factor in economic growth with low growth rates of the average annual number of employees. Relevance. The results of the study can be used by regional authorities in the formation of key areas of tax and budget policies of the Republic of Bashkortostan.
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预测巴什科尔托斯坦共和国社会经济发展的主要参数
主题本文探讨了与家庭和商业部门适应不断变化的内部和外部环境条件有关的问题。目的。文章旨在分析巴什科尔托斯坦共和国未来几年社会经济发展预测基本版本中确定的指标。研究方法研究采用统计分析法。结果。文章认为,在国外市场更加不稳定和本国货币贬值的中期情况下,居民实际可支配收入指标的预测值可能无法实现。劳动生产率是经济增长的关键因素,年平均雇员人数增长率较低。相关性。地区当局在制定巴什科尔托斯坦共和国税收和预算政策的关键领域时可利用研究结果。
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