The Impact of Capital Structure on Financial Performance of Agricultural Listed Companies in China Based on Multiple Linear Regression Model and Data Mining

Yijing Qiao
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Abstract

Background: With the transformation and upgrading of the economy, the market capitalization scale of agricultural listed companies has become larger and larger, but the problems caused by the unreasonableness of their capital structure have become increasingly prominent. This study aims at examining the relationship between capital structure and financial performance of agricultural listed companies in China. Methods: Secondary data are obtained from annual financial statements of the sampled firms over the period 2018-2022, and analyzed statistically using multiple regression models. The capital structure indicators refer to total debt ratio (TDR), short-term debt ratio (STDR), and long-term debt ratio (LTDR), and return on assets (ROA) and return on equity (ROE) are the performance proxies. Results: The results reveal that TDR and STDR have strong negative relationships with ROA and ROE, while LTDR has insignificant correlations with financial performance. Conclusion: The outcomes imply that agricultural companies should pay regular attention to the gearing ratio and strive to maintain good capital mix. They should depend less on short-term debt and could properly employ more of long-term debts in financing to improve profitability and promote sustainable development.
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基于多元线性回归模型和数据挖掘的资本结构对中国农业上市公司财务状况的影响
背景:随着经济的转型升级,农业上市公司的市值规模越来越大,但其资本结构不合理导致的问题也日益突出。本研究旨在探讨中国农业上市公司资本结构与财务绩效之间的关系。 研究方法:从抽样企业2018-2022年的年度财务报表中获取二手数据,采用多元回归模型进行统计分析。资本结构指标指总负债率(TDR)、短期负债率(STDR)和长期负债率(LTDR),资产收益率(ROA)和净资产收益率(ROE)为绩效代理指标。 结果显示结果显示,TDR 和 STDR 与 ROA 和 ROE 负相关,而 LTDR 与财务绩效的相关性不明显。 结论研究结果表明,农业公司应定期关注资产负债率,努力保持良好的资本组合。农业企业应减少对短期债务的依赖,适当增加长期债务融资,以提高盈利能力,促进可持续发展。
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