Is ‘Herding’ Peculiar to Certain Stocks? A Perspective from the Turkish Stock Market

Mustafa Yi̇ldi̇ri̇m, İrem Çeti̇nkaya
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Abstract

We test the existence of daily/weekly herding behavior in the Turkish stock market between June 2013 and October 2020 on the stocks that remained listed on the benchmark stock index over the analysis period. Rather than performing the test on a set of stocks belonging to firms with different characteristics as in the literature, we conduct it on subsets of stocks we form based on foreign ownership ratio, firm size (measured by total assets), and prominent financial indicators (price-to-earnings and market-to-book ratios). Our analysis provides no evidence of herding behavior but yields important insights. Specifically, it demonstrates that financial indicators have no bearing on herding behavior, but investor type and firm size may. A slight indication of herding tendency emerges in stocks with a relatively higher investment from local investors but disappears in those with a comparatively higher investment from foreign investors. This finding suggests a potential market knowledge disparity between local and foreign investors, with the less expert being the local group. Moreover, a faint sign of herding tendency also appears in stocks that belong to small firms, possibly due to a heightened uncertainty inherent in such stocks.
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羊群效应 "是某些股票独有的吗?土耳其股市透视
我们对 2013 年 6 月至 2020 年 10 月期间土耳其股票市场上仍在基准股票指数中上市的股票进行了每日/每周羊群行为的检验。我们没有像文献中那样对属于不同特征公司的一组股票进行检验,而是根据外资持股比例、公司规模(以总资产衡量)和主要财务指标(市盈率和市净率)对股票子集进行检验。我们的分析没有提供羊群行为的证据,但产生了重要的启示。具体而言,分析表明财务指标与羊群行为无关,但投资者类型和公司规模可能与之有关。在本地投资者投资相对较多的股票中,出现了一点羊群行为倾向的迹象,但在外国投资者投资相对较多的股票中却消失了。这一发现表明,本地投资者和外国投资者之间可能存在市场知识差异,而本地投资者对市场知识了解较少。此外,在属于小公司的股票中也出现了一种微弱的羊群倾向迹象,这可能是由于此类股票固有的不确定性增加所致。
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