An Intelligent Decision Support System for Crop Yield Prediction Using Machine Learning and Deep Learning Algorithms

Maryum Bibi, S. Rehman, Khalid Mahmood
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Abstract

Agriculture is crucial to economic growth and development. Crop yield forecasting is critical for food production which includes vegetables, fruits, flowers, and cattle. Artificial Intelligence (AI) is rising in agriculture, providing farmers with real-time or long-term insights about their fields. It allows us to identify the areas that require irrigation, fertilization, or pesticide treatment. Statistical models struggle to track complex relationships in crop yields due to numerous factors. Machine Learning (ML) and Deep Learning (DL) algorithms can solve this problem by training themselves in these relationships, enabling accurate predictions in agricultural yield prediction methods. Predicting product performance in agriculture is challenging due to various factors, but profit forecasting improves decision-making, production, economics, and food safety. The present study focuses on the use of ML and DL algorithms to suggest a novel decision support system for crop yield prediction with the objectives to develop a robust, accurate model, investigate algorithm effectiveness, and create a user-friendly system for informed crop production decisions. According to the results, the developed system is capable of making precise predictions, which can support farmers in making better decisions about how to manage their crops. The simulation results demonstrate that the intelligent decision support system proposed for crop yield prediction using ML and DL algorithms is capable of achieving high accuracy and precision. The system can be used to help farmers make better decisions about crop planting and management, which can lead to increased crop yields and profits. The results of our experiment show that our model is better than the others and it achieves an accuracy of 99.82 %. Additionally, we utilized ML to condense the input space while preserving high accuracy.
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利用机器学习和深度学习算法预测作物产量的智能决策支持系统
农业对经济增长和发展至关重要。作物产量预测对于包括蔬菜、水果、花卉和牲畜在内的粮食生产至关重要。人工智能(AI)正在农业领域兴起,为农民提供有关其田地的实时或长期见解。它可以让我们识别需要灌溉、施肥或杀虫剂处理的区域。由于因素众多,统计模型很难跟踪作物产量的复杂关系。机器学习(ML)和深度学习(DL)算法可以通过在这些关系中进行自我训练来解决这一问题,从而在农业产量预测方法中实现准确预测。由于各种因素,预测农业产品性能具有挑战性,但利润预测可以改善决策、生产、经济和食品安全。本研究的重点是使用 ML 和 DL 算法,提出一种新型的作物产量预测决策支持系统,目的是开发一个稳健、准确的模型,研究算法的有效性,并创建一个用户友好型系统,以做出明智的作物生产决策。结果表明,所开发的系统能够进行精确预测,从而帮助农民就如何管理作物做出更好的决策。仿真结果表明,利用 ML 和 DL 算法进行作物产量预测的智能决策支持系统能够实现高精度和高准确性。该系统可用于帮助农民在作物种植和管理方面做出更好的决策,从而提高作物产量和利润。实验结果表明,我们的模型优于其他模型,准确率达到 99.82%。此外,我们还利用 ML 压缩了输入空间,同时保持了较高的准确率。
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