Remote sensing dynamic monitoring of the flood season area of Poyang Lake over the past two decades

Jiajun Zuo , Wenliang Jiang , Qiang Li , Yankai Du
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Abstract

Drought and flood disasters occur frequently in the Poyang Lake basin during the flood season, making it significantly important to monitor the lake's flood season area using time-series remote sensing. This research employed multisource remote sensing datasets from Landsat, ALOS, and Sentinel-1 across the time span of 2000–2022. Using the MNDWI method and adaptive global threshold segmentation, the flood season area of Poyang Lake was extracted. The spatiotemporal variation characteristics of the flood season area were analysed, and correlations with precipitation and temperature were assessed. Moreover, this study explored the characterization of its response to drought and flood events. The results revealed a strong fluctuation in the lake during the flood season, with the maximum and minimum area differences exceeding 3000 ​km2, and spatial changes were mainly concentrated in the southwestern lake region. There is a significant positive correlation between area changes and precipitation and a significant negative correlation with temperature. By analysing the response characteristics of the flood season area changes to drought and flood events, in years when the flood season area of Poyang Lake exceeds 4500 ​km2, extreme flood disasters usually occur. Areas between 3900 ​km2 and 4500 ​km2 are prone to floods, areas between 2000 ​km2 and 3000 ​km2 are prone to drought events, and areas below 2000 ​km2 typically experience extreme drought disasters.

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二十年来鄱阳湖汛期区域遥感动态监测
鄱阳湖流域汛期旱涝灾害频发,利用时间序列遥感监测湖泊汛期面积具有重要意义。本研究采用了 Landsat、ALOS 和 Sentinel-1 等多源遥感数据集,时间跨度为 2000-2022 年。利用 MNDWI 方法和自适应全局阈值分割,提取了鄱阳湖的汛期面积。分析了汛期区域的时空变化特征,并评估了与降水和温度的相关性。此外,本研究还探讨了其对干旱和洪涝事件的响应特征。结果表明,洪水季节湖泊面积波动剧烈,最大和最小面积差异超过 3000 平方公里,空间变化主要集中在西南湖区。面积变化与降水呈显著正相关,与气温呈显著负相关。通过分析汛期面积变化对旱涝事件的响应特征,鄱阳湖汛期面积超过 4500 km2 的年份,多发生特大洪涝灾害。3900 平方公里至 4500 平方公里之间的地区易发生洪涝灾害,2000 平方公里至 3000 平方公里之间的地区易发生干旱事件,2000 平方公里以下的地区通常会发生特大干旱灾害。
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