Modeling the Effect of Interference and Gestation Delay in an Interacting Good Biomass and Bird Population: An Application to Wetland Ecosystem

Ravikant Singh, Archana Ojha, Nilesh Kumar Thakur
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Abstract

This paper analyzes the interacting good bio-mass and bird population for the wetland system of Keoladeo National Park (KNP). The system dynamics is analyzed with and without time delay. The bifurcating periodic solution properties are investigated by normal form and central manifold arguments. The computer simulation is performed to validate the analytical findings that show the different dynamical outcomes such as stable and oscillatory dynamics in the absence of time delay. The numerical computation is performed for the delayed system and the stability behavior of gestation delay for different cases is investigated. The system dynamics show the chaotic behavior when the two crucial parameters (carrying capacity of good biomass and intensity of interference of bird population) have a high time delay value. Further, the diffusion-induced instability conditions are derived. The obtained spatial patterns show that the time and intensity of interference can change the spatial distributions, and the hot and cold spots pattern appears in the whole domain.

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模拟生物量和鸟类种群相互作用时干扰和妊娠延迟的影响:湿地生态系统应用
本文分析了基奥拉迪奥国家公园(KNP)湿地系统中良好生物量与鸟类数量之间的相互作用。分析了有时间延迟和无时间延迟的系统动力学。通过法线形式和中心流形论证研究了分岔周期解的特性。计算机模拟验证了分析结果,这些结果显示了不同的动态结果,如无时间延迟时的稳定动态和振荡动态。对延迟系统进行了数值计算,并研究了不同情况下妊娠延迟的稳定性行为。当两个关键参数(良好生物量的承载能力和鸟类种群的干扰强度)的时间延迟值较高时,系统动力学表现出混沌行为。此外,还得出了扩散诱导的不稳定条件。所得到的空间模式表明,干扰时间和干扰强度会改变空间分布,整个域中会出现热点和冷点模式。
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