Why future contingents are not all false*

IF 0.6 2区 哲学 0 PHILOSOPHY Analytic Philosophy Pub Date : 2024-01-17 DOI:10.1111/phib.12334
John MacFarlane
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Patrick Todd argues for a modified Peircean view on which all future contingents are false. According to Todd, this is the only view that makes sense if we fully embrace an open future, rejecting the idea of actual future history. I argue that supervaluational accounts, on which future contingents are neither true nor false, are fully consistent with the metaphysics of an open future. I suggest that it is Todd's failure to distinguish semantic and postsemantic levels that leads him to suppose otherwise. I also show how one can resist Todd's argument (with Brian Rabern) that the conceptual possibility of omniscience requires us to reject Retro-closure ( ϕ Was n Will n ϕ $$ \phi \to {\mathrm{Was}}_n{\mathrm{Will}}_n\phi $$ ).
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为什么未来的特遣队不全是假的*
帕特里克-托德(Patrick Todd)主张一种修正的皮尔斯观点,在这种观点中,所有的未来偶然性都是虚假的。托德认为,如果我们完全接受开放的未来,拒绝接受实际未来历史的观点,那么只有这种观点才有意义。我认为,未来偶然性既非真也非假的监督评价论完全符合开放未来的形而上学。我认为,正是托德未能区分语义层面和后语义层面,才导致他持相反的观点。我还展示了如何抵制托德的论证(与布赖恩-拉伯恩合作),即全知的概念可能性要求我们拒绝逆封闭(ϕ→WasnWillnj$$ \phi \to {\mathrm{Was}}_n\{mathrm{Will}}_n\phi $$)。
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来源期刊
Analytic Philosophy
Analytic Philosophy PHILOSOPHY-
CiteScore
1.10
自引率
0.00%
发文量
34
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