U.S. Seniors’ Intention to Vaccinate Against RSV in Fall and Winter 2023

Simon F. Haeder
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Abstract

In the fall and winter of 2023, the United States may experience a “tripledemic” of COVID-19, influenza, and RSV that may lead to 100,000 deaths. Seniors will be disproportionally affected. The newly released RSV vaccines for those age 60 and over may reduce the number of deaths for the expected 6,000 to 10,000 seniors expected to die from RSV alone. Using a large national survey, we queried Americans over age 60 about their RSV vaccination status and their intention to vaccinate this fall and winter. We found that 9% of seniors had already been vaccinated. Of the remaining unvaccinated, 42% indicated their intent to vaccinate. We found that those with higher levels of concerns for the disease, higher levels of self-assessed risk, believing that vaccines were safe and important, higher levels of trust in health institutions, and men were more likely to seek out vaccinations. Vaccine hesitant respondents listed a lack of necessity, concerns about side effects and safety, and a lack of information as primary reasons. The large number of unvaccinated seniors will likely lead to an excessive number of hospitalizations and deaths as well as augmented social costs. Evidence-based mitigation measures tailored to seniors’ concerns should be implemented immediately.
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美国老年人在 2023 年秋冬季接种 RSV 疫苗的意向
2023 年秋冬季,美国可能会经历 COVID-19、流感和 RSV 的 "三重流行",可能导致 10 万人死亡。老年人将受到不成比例的影响。新发布的针对 60 岁及以上人群的 RSV 疫苗可能会减少预计仅死于 RSV 的 6,000 至 10,000 名老年人的死亡人数。通过一项大型全国性调查,我们询问了 60 岁以上美国人的 RSV 疫苗接种情况以及今年秋冬季的接种意向。我们发现,9% 的老年人已经接种了疫苗。在剩余的未接种者中,42% 表示有意接种。我们发现,那些对疾病关注度较高、自我评估风险较高、认为疫苗安全且重要、对医疗机构信任度较高的人以及男性更有可能寻求接种疫苗。接种疫苗犹豫不决的受访者将缺乏必要性、担心副作用和安全性以及缺乏信息列为主要原因。大量未接种疫苗的老年人可能会导致过多的住院和死亡病例,并增加社会成本。针对老年人的担忧,应立即实施基于证据的缓解措施。
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