Assessing the accuracy of the program Stature for stature estimation in White South Africans

Natasha R. Loubser , Amy J. Spies , Desiré Brits
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Abstract

In 2016, Polcerová and Králik created an open-access software program, Stature, designed to automate the estimation of living stature in forensic and archaeological cases. This program includes 22 equations from 13 publications, based on both anatomical and mathematical methods to automate stature estimations. This program does not currently include any population data relating to South Africa, and therefore, this study aimed to assess the accuracy of the program Stature to estimate living stature from the skeletal remains of White South African adults. The living stature of 40 male and 20 female White South African adults from the Raymond A. Dart Collection of Modern Human Skeletons was automatically estimated by the program (ELSP). These estimates were then compared to stature estimates generated by the multivariate equation using the physiological length of the femur and tibial length formulated specifically for the estimation of stature of White South Africans (ELSD). The vast majority of the ELSP significantly under- or overestimated the living stature of this sample, however various ELSP did estimate stature with a sufficient degree of accuracy. It was found that the estimates which were significantly different were associated with the largest inaccuracies, biases, and SEE values and are not applicable to this population group. The equations, using standardised measurements, which were not significantly different could accurately estimate the living stature of White South Africans, however, it is recommended that the data of White South African populations be incorporated into the program Stature for increased accuracy and diversity.

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评估 "身材 "程序在估计南非白人身材方面的准确性
2016年,Polcerová和Králik创建了一个开放存取的软件程序--"身材",旨在自动估算法医和考古案例中的活人身材。该程序包括 13 篇出版物中的 22 个方程,基于解剖学和数学方法自动估算身材。该程序目前不包括任何与南非有关的人口数据,因此,本研究旨在评估 "身材 "程序从南非白人成年人的骨骼遗骸中估计活人身材的准确性。该程序(ELSP)自动估算了雷蒙德-A-达特现代人类骸骨收藏中 40 名男性和 20 名女性南非白人成年人的活体身材。然后将这些估计值与使用股骨生理长度和胫骨长度的多元方程生成的估计值进行比较,该方程是专门为估计南非白人的身材而制定的(ELSD)。绝大多数 ELSP 都明显低估或高估了该样本的活体身材,但也有一些 ELSP 对身材的估计具有足够的准确性。结果发现,有明显差异的估计值与最大的不准确度、偏差和 SEE 值有关,不适用于该人群。使用标准化测量值的等式差异不大,可以准确估计南非白人的活体身材,但建议将南非白人的数据纳入 "身材 "程序,以提高准确性和多样性。
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来源期刊
Forensic Science International: Reports
Forensic Science International: Reports Medicine-Pathology and Forensic Medicine
CiteScore
2.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
47
审稿时长
57 days
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