Disposition effect and its outcome on endogenous price fluctuations

IF 1.4 Q3 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Decisions in Economics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-01-28 DOI:10.1007/s10203-023-00431-z
Alessia Cafferata, Marco Patacca, Fabio Tramontana
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Abstract

We have developed a financial market model that incorporates the Disposition Effect, which refers to traders’ tendency to avoid realizing losses. Specifically, our model replicates several stylized facts commonly observed in financial markets, such as fat tails and volatility clustering. These market characteristics can be attributed to the Disposition Effect, especially when the trading behavior of agents aligns with the findings of Ben-David and Hirshleifer (Rev Financ Stud 25(8):2485–2532, 2012). To demonstrate this, we examine two versions of the model: one where a class of agents exhibits a high degree of Disposition Effect and another where traders are not influenced by it. By comparing the simulated time series generated by both versions, we find that the one with agents affected by the Disposition Effect better replicates the features observed in real financial markets. This holds true for both the deterministic and stochastic versions of the model.

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处置效应及其对内生价格波动的影响
我们建立了一个包含处置效应的金融市场模型,处置效应指的是交易者避免实现损失的倾向。具体来说,我们的模型复制了金融市场中常见的几种典型事实,如肥尾和波动集群。这些市场特征可归因于处置效应,尤其是当代理的交易行为与 Ben-David 和 Hirshleifer 的研究结果一致时(Rev Financ Stud 25(8):2485-2532, 2012)。为了证明这一点,我们研究了两个版本的模型:一个版本是一类代理人表现出高度的处置效应,另一个版本是交易者不受处置效应的影响。通过比较这两个版本生成的模拟时间序列,我们发现,代理受处置效应影响的版本更好地复制了在真实金融市场中观察到的特征。这一点在确定性模型和随机模型中都适用。
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来源期刊
Decisions in Economics and Finance
Decisions in Economics and Finance SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS-
CiteScore
2.50
自引率
9.10%
发文量
10
期刊介绍: Decisions in Economics and Finance: A Journal of Applied Mathematics is the official publication of the Association for Mathematics Applied to Social and Economic Sciences (AMASES). It provides a specialised forum for the publication of research in all areas of mathematics as applied to economics, finance, insurance, management and social sciences. Primary emphasis is placed on original research concerning topics in mathematics or computational techniques which are explicitly motivated by or contribute to the analysis of economic or financial problems.
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