Tourism and Hospitality Forecasting With Big Data: A Systematic Review of the Literature

D. Wu, Shiteng Zhong, Ji Wu, Haiyan Song
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Abstract

Empirical research has shown that incorporating big data into tourism and hospitality forecasting significantly improves prediction accuracy. This study presents a comprehensive review of big data forecasting in the tourism and hospitality industry, critically evaluating existing research and identifying five key research questions and trends that require further attention. These include the lack of theoretical foundation, the rise of high-frequency forecasting research, less attention to unstructured data, the necessity of dynamic data analysis in forecasting, and the construction of a tourism and hospitality demand information system based on cloud computing. Importantly, this study constructs a theoretical framework by combining relevant theories from psychology, communication, information processing, and other fields. Five types of big data used for tourism and hospitality forecasting are identified: web-based volume data, social media statistics, textual data, photo data, and video data. Additionally, more recent tactics such as mixed data sampling and machine learning methods are discussed.
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利用大数据进行旅游业和酒店业预测:文献系统回顾
实证研究表明,将大数据纳入旅游业和酒店业预测可显著提高预测准确性。本研究对旅游业和酒店业的大数据预测进行了全面回顾,对现有研究进行了批判性评估,并确定了需要进一步关注的五个关键研究问题和趋势。这些问题包括缺乏理论基础、高频预测研究的兴起、对非结构化数据的关注较少、动态数据分析在预测中的必要性以及基于云计算的旅游与酒店业需求信息系统的构建。重要的是,本研究结合心理学、传播学、信息处理等领域的相关理论,构建了一个理论框架。确定了用于旅游和酒店业预测的五类大数据:基于网络的数量数据、社交媒体统计数据、文本数据、照片数据和视频数据。此外,还讨论了混合数据采样和机器学习方法等最新策略。
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