Media abnormal tone and cross section of stock returns: Evidence from China

Lu Yan, Yong Ma, Changshuai Li, Guohao Tang
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Abstract

This paper introduces an innovative methodology for extracting information from textual data to explain cross‐sectional stock returns, addressing limitations of conventional media tone measures. We find firms exhibiting higher media abnormal tone yield lower future returns in the Chinese market, even when controlling for common risk factors. This effect is more pronounced among firms with low investment, low profitability, and high short‐term reversal. We also find the negative premium generated by media abnormal tone results from mispricing, highlighting investor overreaction despite media's role in disseminating concurrent firm information. Furthermore, the tendency for media outlets to follow suit exacerbates investor overreaction.
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媒体异常调性与股票回报的横截面:来自中国的证据
本文介绍了一种从文本数据中提取信息来解释横截面股票回报的创新方法,解决了传统媒体语气测量方法的局限性。我们发现,在中国市场上,即使控制了共同的风险因素,表现出较高媒体异常调性的公司未来回报率也较低。这种效应在低投资、低盈利和高短期反转的公司中更为明显。我们还发现,媒体异常声调所产生的负溢价来自于错误定价,凸显了尽管媒体在传播公司并发信息方面发挥了作用,但投资者却反应过度。此外,媒体的跟风倾向加剧了投资者的过度反应。
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