Research on the selection of stock prediction models

Renjun Huang
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Abstract

Against the backdrop of increasing attention to the integration of machine learning and stock analysis, stock prediction models are a hot topic. The question this paper is studying in this study is which stock prediction model is more accurate in predicting stocks. The method of this study is based on the stock prices of new energy vehicle leader Tesla Motors in the past three years as a data set, using a random forest model and an SVR model to predict the stock prices over the next 10 days. Based on the parameter MSE values of the training models of two stock prediction models, compare their sizes to determine the accuracy and stability of the models. This study found that the stock prediction results of the SVR model are more accurate and stable than those of the random forest model. Therefore, it is believed that the stock prediction model using the SVR method will have more market value and occupy an important position in the integration of machine learning and stock trading analysis.
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股票预测模型选择研究
在机器学习与股票分析的结合日益受到关注的背景下,股票预测模型成为一个热门话题。本文研究的问题是哪种股票预测模型预测股票更准确。本研究的方法是以新能源汽车领军企业特斯拉汽车公司过去三年的股票价格为数据集,使用随机森林模型和 SVR 模型预测未来 10 天的股票价格。根据两种股票预测模型训练模型的参数 MSE 值,比较它们的大小,以确定模型的准确性和稳定性。本研究发现,SVR 模型的股票预测结果比随机森林模型更准确、更稳定。因此,相信使用 SVR 方法的股票预测模型将更具市场价值,在机器学习与股票交易分析的结合中占据重要地位。
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