Early life exposure to Chinese famine and risk of digestive system cancer in midlife.

Yizhen Tan, Xiaozhong Jiang, Xiong Ding, Zhihao Wei, Zongshuang Song, Shuohua Chen, Peng Yang, Dandan Zhao, Shouling Wu, Yun Li
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Abstract

To investigate whether early-life exposure to the Great Famine of 1959-1961 in China was associated with the risk of digestive system cancer. The prospective cohort study involved 17 997 participants from the Kailuan Study (Tangshan, China) that began in 2006. All participants were divided into three groups based on their date of birth. The unexposed group (born from 1 October 1962 to 30 September 1964), fetal-exposed group (born from 1 October 1959 to 30 December 1961), and early-childhood-exposed group (born from 1 October 1956 to 30 December 1958). The Cox proportional hazards model was used to analyze the association between early famine exposure and digestive system cancer. During the mean follow-up period of (10.4 ± 2.2) years, a total of 223 digestive system cancer events occurred. Including 54 cases in the unexposed group (62.14/100 000 person-years), 57 cases in the fetal-exposed group (114.8/100 000 person-years), and 112 cases in the early-childhood-exposure group (122.2/100 000 person-years). After adjusting covariates, compared with the unexposed group, the HR and 95% CI were 1.85 (1.28, 2.69) for participants in the fetal-exposed group and 1.92 (1.38, 2.66) for participants in the early-childhood-exposed group. No interactions were observed in our study. After classifying digestive system cancers, the HR and 95% CI were 2.02 (1.03, 3.97) for colorectal cancer for participants in the fetal-exposed group and 2.55 (1.43, 4.55) for participants in the early-childhood-exposed group. The HR and 95% CI were (1.13, 3.83) of liver cancer for participants in the fetal-exposed group and 1.15 (0.63, 2.10) for participants in the early-childhood-exposed group. Early-life famine exposure was associated with a higher risk of digestive system cancer in adulthood. Fetal-exposed individuals might increase the risk of colorectal cancer and liver cancer, and early childhood-exposed might increase the risk of colorectal cancer.

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早年受中国饥荒影响与中年患消化系统癌症的风险。
摘要研究中国人早年遭受1959-1961年大饥荒是否与罹患消化系统癌症的风险有关:这项前瞻性队列研究涉及开滦研究(中国唐山)的 17,997 名参与者,研究始于 2006 年。所有参与者根据出生日期分为三组。未暴露组(1962 年 10 月 1 日至 1964 年 9 月 30 日出生)、胎儿暴露组(1959 年 10 月 1 日至 1961 年 12 月 30 日出生)和儿童早期暴露组(1956 年 10 月 1 日至 1958 年 12 月 30 日出生)。采用Cox比例危害模型分析早期饥荒暴露与消化系统癌症之间的关系:结果:在平均(10.4 ± 2.2)年的随访期间,共发生了 223 起消化系统癌症事件。包括未暴露组 54 例(62.14/100,000 人-年)、胎儿暴露组 57 例(114.8/100,000 人-年)和儿童早期暴露组 112 例(122.2/100,000 人-年)。调整协变量后,与未暴露组相比,胎儿暴露组的 HR 和 95% CI 分别为 1.85(1.28,2.69),幼儿暴露组的 HR 和 95% CI 分别为 1.92(1.38,2.66)。在我们的研究中没有观察到交互作用:结论:早年遭受饥荒与成年后罹患消化系统癌症的风险较高有关。胎儿暴露者可能会增加罹患结直肠癌和肝癌的风险,儿童早期暴露者可能会增加罹患结直肠癌的风险。
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