A Damage Assessment of the Bearing Capacity of Frozen Grounds due to Temperature Change and Permafrost Thawing in the Arctic Zone of the Russian Federation by the Middle of the 21st Century
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Abstract
Changes in the bearing capacity of frozen soils under various scenarios of warming in the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation (AZRF) by 2050 are considered. Deformations and destruction of buildings and engineering structures in the Russian Arctic will be gradually developed. Taking into account the climatic scenarios (RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5), one-third of the AZRF territory will experience a decrease in the bearing capacity by more than 15% by the middle of the century. The Arctic coast of the European North of Russia and the Yamal and the Gyda Peninsulas are in the danger zone.
期刊介绍：
Moscow University Geology Bulletin is the journal that mainly publishes scientific articles, short reports of graduate students, and reviews. Publications made by the members of the Faculty of Geology of the Moscow State University and their collaborators are published. Publications encompass all branches of geology.
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