A tuberculosis model with three infected classes

A. Sangotola, S. B. Adeyemo, O. A. Nuga, A. E. Adeniji, A. J. Adigun
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Abstract

The dynamics of tuberculosis within a population cannot be adequately represented by a single infectious class. Therefore, this study develops a compartmental model encompassing latent, active, and drug-resistant populations to better capture tuberculosis dynamics in a community. Model analysis reveals that the disease-free equilibrium point is locally asymptotically stable when the basic reproduction number is below one. Moreover, the use of a suitable Lyapunov function demonstrates global asymptotic stability of the disease-free equilibrium point. An endemic equilibrium emerges when the basic reproduction number exceeds one. Sensitivity analysis is conducted for each parameter associated with the basic reproduction number, and optimal control analysis is employed to assess the impact of various control strategies on disease containment. Numerical simulations are conducted to supplement theoretical findings, illustrating the practical implications of the proposed control strategies.
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有三个感染等级的结核病模型
结核病在人群中的动态变化无法用单一的传染类别来充分体现。因此,本研究建立了一个包含潜伏人群、活动人群和耐药人群的分区模型,以更好地捕捉社区中的结核病动态。模型分析表明,当基本繁殖数低于 1 时,无病平衡点是局部渐近稳定的。此外,使用合适的 Lyapunov 函数可以证明无病平衡点的全局渐近稳定性。当基本繁殖数超过 1 时,就会出现地方病平衡。对与基本繁殖数相关的每个参数进行了敏感性分析,并采用最优控制分析来评估各种控制策略对疾病控制的影响。为补充理论研究结果,还进行了数值模拟,以说明拟议控制策略的实际影响。
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