Tropical nights in the Mediterranean: A spatiotemporal analysis of trends from 1950 to 2022

Doğukan Doğu Yavaşlı, E. Erlat
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Abstract

The Mediterranean region, noted for its climatic uniqueness and rapid urban expansion, is a critical area for climate change studies. This research investigates the increase in extreme temperatures, particularly focusing on tropical nights and their socio‐economic implications. Our aim was to analyse the spatiotemporal changes, including long‐term variation and trends in the tropical night indices in the Mediterranean region over 73 years (1950–2022). To achieve this, we utilized ERA5‐Land reanalysis data, conducting a comparative analysis to highlight the differential impacts of urbanization on tropical nights in urban and non‐urban areas. The study reveals a significant rise in the frequency of tropical nights region‐wide. Specifically, the onset of the tropical night season is occurring earlier, with an advancement of approximately 17.3 days per decade, while the season's end is delayed by about 17.1 days per decade, effectively prolonging the duration of tropical nights. This change is most pronounced in urban areas, where tropical nights have increased more significantly compared to non‐urban regions, highlighting the exacerbating effect of urbanization on nocturnal temperature trends. Overall, our findings underline the combined effects of anthropogenic climate change and urban development on the increased occurrence and intensity of tropical nights in the Mediterranean region.
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地中海的热带夜晚:对 1950 年至 2022 年趋势的时空分析
地中海地区以其独特的气候和快速的城市扩张而著称,是气候变化研究的关键地区。本研究调查了极端气温的增加,特别是热带夜间气温的增加及其对社会经济的影响。我们的目的是分析地中海地区 73 年(1950-2022 年)热带夜间指数的时空变化,包括长期变化和趋势。为此,我们利用ERA5-陆地再分析数据,进行了对比分析,以突出城市化对城市和非城市地区热带夜的不同影响。研究结果表明,整个区域的热带夜间发生频率显著上升。具体来说,热带夜季的开始时间提前了,每十年提前约 17.3 天,而热带夜季的结束时间每十年推迟约 17.1 天,从而有效延长了热带夜的持续时间。这种变化在城市地区最为明显,与非城市地区相比,热带夜的增加更为显著,凸显了城市化对夜间气温趋势的加剧作用。总之,我们的研究结果强调了人为气候变化和城市发展对地中海地区热带夜间发生率和强度增加的综合影响。
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