The pandemic as a criminological experiment: Crime in the Netherlands during 12 months of COVID-19 measures

IF 2 3区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY European Journal of Criminology Pub Date : 2024-02-06 DOI:10.1177/14773708241226541
E. Kruisbergen, Marco B. Haas, Debora E.G. Moolenaar, Lisa van Es, Joanieke M.A. Snijders, Lise Houwing, Ben Stickle
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Abstract

COVID-19 caused serious personal and societal damage. It also created, however, a unique natural experiment. How did the pandemic affect crime levels? In this article, we analyse unique empirical data for the Netherlands, covering January 2016–March 2021, to assess if and how crime patterns changed during the first 12 months of COVID-19-related measures. Domestic violence, which was expected to rise, did not increase, nor did distraction burglary. Residential burglary, bicycle theft and pickpocketing, however, decreased considerably, especially during (some of the) weeks when lockdown measures were into force. Online crime rates on the other hand increased. An opportunity theoretical approach regarding crime offers a good explanation for these changes.
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作为犯罪学实验的大流行病:COVID-19 措施实施 12 个月期间荷兰的犯罪情况
COVID-19 造成了严重的个人和社会损失。然而,它也创造了一个独特的自然实验。大流行病如何影响犯罪率?在本文中,我们分析了荷兰 2016 年 1 月至 2021 年 3 月的独特经验数据,以评估在 COVID-19 相关措施实施的头 12 个月中,犯罪模式是否发生了变化以及如何变化。预期会上升的家庭暴力没有增加,分心入室盗窃也没有增加。然而,住宅盗窃、自行车盗窃和扒窃却大幅减少,尤其是在封锁措施生效的(部分)周内。另一方面,网上犯罪率却有所上升。有关犯罪的机会理论方法为这些变化提供了很好的解释。
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来源期刊
European Journal of Criminology
European Journal of Criminology CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY-
CiteScore
5.10
自引率
5.30%
发文量
28
期刊介绍: The European Journal of Criminology is a refereed journal published by SAGE publications and the European Society of Criminology. It provides a forum for research and scholarship on crime and criminal justice institutions. The journal published high quality articles using varied approaches, including discussion of theory, analysis of quantitative data, comparative studies, systematic evaluation of interventions, and study of institutions of political process. The journal also covers analysis of policy, but not description of policy developments. Priority is given to articles that are relevant to the wider Europe (within and beyond the EU) although findings may be drawn from other parts of the world.
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