{"title":"Investment incentives of rent controls and gentrification: Evidence from German micro data","authors":"Vera Baye, Valeriya Dinger","doi":"10.1111/1540-6229.12478","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"We empirically document that the effectiveness of the German rent control introduced in 2015 in achieving rental housing affordability is limited. Exploring the reasons for this limited effectiveness, we focus on the impact of the rent control on the yield on rental housing investments proxied by rent‐price ratios, which we derive by predicting sale prices to rental objects based on a hedonic model using micro‐level quotes on rental and sale listing. Exploiting the temporal, regional, and object‐specific variation generated by the design of the rent control, we identify a causal negative effect of the rent control on the yield of rental objects subject to the regulation. Furthermore, we zoom into the spillovers across regulated objects and objects in the affected markets that were exempt from the regulation and find rising yields for the exempted objects, suggesting that the regulation contributed to gentrification via a shift of rental housing supply away from the regulated segment.","PeriodicalId":47731,"journal":{"name":"Real Estate Economics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-02-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Real Estate Economics","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1111/1540-6229.12478","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
We empirically document that the effectiveness of the German rent control introduced in 2015 in achieving rental housing affordability is limited. Exploring the reasons for this limited effectiveness, we focus on the impact of the rent control on the yield on rental housing investments proxied by rent‐price ratios, which we derive by predicting sale prices to rental objects based on a hedonic model using micro‐level quotes on rental and sale listing. Exploiting the temporal, regional, and object‐specific variation generated by the design of the rent control, we identify a causal negative effect of the rent control on the yield of rental objects subject to the regulation. Furthermore, we zoom into the spillovers across regulated objects and objects in the affected markets that were exempt from the regulation and find rising yields for the exempted objects, suggesting that the regulation contributed to gentrification via a shift of rental housing supply away from the regulated segment.
期刊介绍:
As the official journal of the American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, Real Estate Economics is the premier journal on real estate topics. Since 1973, Real Estate Economics has been facilitating communication among academic researchers and industry professionals and improving the analysis of real estate decisions. Articles span a wide range of issues, from tax rules to brokers" commissions to corporate real estate including housing and urban economics, and the financial economics of real estate development and investment.