Impact of Domestic Investment on Economic Growth in Nigeria

Nwaeke O. Jackson
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Abstract

This study investigated the impact of domestic investment on economic growth in Nigeria from the period 1990 to 2022. The dimensions that were used to proxy the independent variable are domestic investment, total exports, interest rate and inflation while real gross domestic product was used to proxy economic growth which is the dependent variable. Data used were sourced from secondary sources which includes; World Bank development indicators for various years and the Central Bank of Nigeria annual statistical bulletin. The Statistical Software employed to analyse the data was the eviews9. The results of the Unit root test show that domestic investment, total exports, interest rate and real gross domestic variables evaluated are all stationary after first difference- I(1)- while inflation rate was stationary at level- I(0)-. The Autoregressive distributed lag was used to analyze data. The results of the Autoregressive distributed lag estimates reveal that in both the long run and short run, domestic investment, total exports, coefficients have positive impact on real gross domestic product in Nigeria and both are also statistically significant at five percent level of significance in the long-run in Nigeria. Since it was found that increase domestic investment and total exports bring about economic growth, the study therefore, recommends amongst others that appropriate trade policies in favour of export expansion should be encouraged. The federal government of Nigeria should make concerted effort towards export promotion policy by encouraging domestic investors to go into more production. In order to achieve this, there is need for the government to reduce interest rate and tax rate.
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国内投资对尼日利亚经济增长的影响
本研究调查了 1990 年至 2022 年期间国内投资对尼日利亚经济增长的影响。自变量包括国内投资、出口总额、利率和通货膨胀率,因变量则是实际国内生产总值。所使用的数据来源于二手资料,包括世界银行不同年份的发展指标和尼日利亚中央银行的年度统计公报。用于分析数据的统计软件是 eviews9。单位根检验的结果表明,国内投资、出口总额、利率和实际国内生产总值变量在经过第一次差分--I(1)--后都是静态的,而通货膨胀率在 I(0)--水平上是静态的。自回归分布滞后被用来分析数据。自回归分布滞后估计的结果表明,无论从长期还是短期来看,国内投资和出口总额的系数都对尼日利亚的实际国内生产总值产生了积极影响,而且在尼日利亚的长期来看,这两个系数在 5%的显著性水平上具有统计学意义。研究发现,国内投资和出口总额的增加会带来经济增长,因此建议应鼓励采取有利于扩大出口的适当贸易政策。尼日利亚联邦政府应齐心协力制定出口促进政策,鼓励国内投资者进行更多生产。为此,政府有必要降低利率和税率。
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