The implications of non‐synchronous trading in G‐7 financial markets

Dimitrios Dimitriou, Dimitris Kenourgios, Theodore Simos, Alexandros Tsioutsios
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Abstract

We investigate the effects of non‐synchronous trading on volatility spillover for the G‐7 equity markets during the Eurozone sovereign debt crisis (ESDC) and the Covid‐19 pandemic crisis. For data synchronisation we utilise ΜΑ(1) adjusted return series to estimate the Baba‐Engle‐Kraft‐Kroner (BEKK) and the dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) models. We also consider the use of realised kernels as explanatory variables in the variance equation. In this set up, the contagion effects during crises periods are more perceptible, as the spikes are easier to interpret. We also check the robustness of our main results by applying, wavelet coherence analysis to G‐7 major equity indices with realised kernels, as well as local Gaussian correlations (LGC). Our findings suggest the empirical significance of the synchronisation effects for the US and the other G‐7 equity markets. We also conclude that realised kernels is an effective tool for mitigating non‐synchronous effects. These results underline the significance of quantifying the synchronisation effects in equity markets as well as international portfolio diversification strategies.
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七国集团金融市场非同步交易的影响
我们研究了欧元区主权债务危机(ESDC)和 Covid-19 大流行危机期间七国集团股票市场非同步交易对波动溢出的影响。在数据同步方面,我们利用ΜΑ(1)调整后的收益率序列来估计巴巴-恩格尔-克拉夫特-克朗(BEKK)和动态条件相关(DCC)模型。我们还考虑在方差方程中使用已实现内核作为解释变量。在这种情况下,危机期间的传染效应更容易察觉,因为峰值更容易解释。我们还对具有已实现内核的七国集团主要股票指数以及局部高斯相关性(LGC)进行了小波相干性分析,以检验主要结果的稳健性。我们的研究结果表明,同步效应对美国和其他七国集团股票市场具有重要的经验意义。我们还得出结论,实现核是缓解非同步效应的有效工具。这些结果凸显了量化股票市场同步效应以及国际投资组合多样化策略的重要性。
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