Predictive Model for Prognosis of Sudden Sensorineural Hearing Loss by Nomogram.

Ear, nose, & throat journal Pub Date : 2025-04-01 Epub Date: 2024-02-23 DOI:10.1177/01455613241230823
Aidan Dong, Jianhua Peng, Renyu Lin
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Abstract

Objective: To explore the prognostic factors of patients with sudden sensorineural hearing loss (SSNHL), analyze the possible influencing factors, and construct a nomogram for personalized evaluation of their prognosis. Methods: A retrospective study was conducted on 269 patients with SSNHL. The prognostic factors were analyzed by univariate analysis and multivariate logistic regression analysis. The nomogram was constructed based on the results of multivariate logistic regression analysis, and the model was verified by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Results: Among the 269 patients hospitalized, 136 cases were improved (44 cases were cured, 28 cases were markedly effective, 64 cases were effective) and 133 cases were ineffective. After univariate analysis, it was found that age, duration from onset to treatment, audiometric configuration, serum albumin (ALB), and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) were associated with hearing outcomes. Duration from onset to treatment and audiometric configuration were independent risk factors when the treatment outcome was divided into ineffective, effective, significant improvement, and complete recovery groups or divided into improvement and ineffective groups after multivariate logistic regression analysis. The factors according to univariate analysis and multivariate logistic regression analysis results were included in the nomogram to construct the prediction models. The area under the ROC curve of model discrimination was 0.752 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.695-0.808] when the treatment outcome was divided into 2 groups. The calibration curve showed the consistency of the results, and the DCA prediction curve showed good clinical efficacy. The C-index was 0.756 (95% CI: 0.710-0.802) when the treatment outcome was divided into 4 groups. Conclusion: Age, duration from onset to treatment, audiometric configuration, ALB, and NLR are influencing factors for SSNHL. Duration from onset to treatment and audiometric configuration are independent risk factors for SSNHL. The nomogram presents the prognosis of patients with SSNHL in an intuitive, visual, and readable graph, providing clinicians with a personalized assessment.

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用提名图预测突发性感音神经性听力损失的预后模型
目的:探讨突发性感音神经性听力损失(SSNHL)患者的预后因素:探讨突发性感音神经性听力损失(SSNHL)患者的预后因素,分析可能的影响因素,并构建用于个性化评估预后的提名图。研究方法对 269 名突发性感音神经性听力损失患者进行了回顾性研究。通过单变量分析和多变量逻辑回归分析对预后因素进行了分析。根据多变量逻辑回归分析的结果构建了提名图,并通过接收器操作特征曲线(ROC)、校准曲线和决策曲线分析(DCA)对模型进行了验证。结果在 269 例住院患者中,136 例好转(44 例治愈,28 例显效,64 例有效),133 例无效。经过单变量分析发现,年龄、发病到治疗的持续时间、听力配置、血清白蛋白(ALB)和中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值(NLR)与听力结果有关。在多变量逻辑回归分析后,将治疗结果分为无效组、有效组、明显改善组和完全康复组,或将治疗结果分为改善组和无效组时,发病到治疗的持续时间和听力构型是独立的风险因素。根据单变量分析和多变量逻辑回归分析结果得出的因素被纳入提名图,以构建预测模型。当治疗结果分为两组时,模型判别的 ROC 曲线下面积为 0.752 [95% 置信区间 (CI):0.695-0.808]。校准曲线显示了结果的一致性,DCA 预测曲线显示了良好的临床疗效。将治疗结果分为 4 组时,C 指数为 0.756(95% CI:0.710-0.802)。结论年龄、发病到治疗的持续时间、听力配置、ALB 和 NLR 是 SSNHL 的影响因素。从发病到接受治疗的持续时间和听力学结构是 SSNHL 的独立风险因素。提名图以直观、形象、可读性强的图表展示了 SSNHL 患者的预后,为临床医生提供了个性化的评估。
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