Changes in baPWV and the risk of clinical outcomes: a cohort study of Chinese community-based population

Abstract

It has not been fully investigated whether improved arterial stiffness (AS) can reduce the clinical outcomes risk in community population-based study. In this prospective study, a total of 5247 individuals with abnormal AS (at baseline) and repeated brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) measurement before 2018 years were enrolled from the Kailuan Study. According the second baPWV measurement, we divided the participants into two groups, improved AS (defined as transfer elevated AS status to normal) and persistent AS (defined as maintaining elevated AS status). The outcome was a composite event of stroke, myocardial infraction, and all-cause mortality. We used Cox proportional hazards regression to examine the association between AS status at the follow-up and the subsequent outcome. During a median of 5.2 years follow-up, we observed 413 end point events. After adjusted for potential confounders, comparing with the persistent AS group, individuals in the improved AS group had a 43% (hazard ratio [HR], 0.57; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.35–0.94) decreased the risk of the primary composite events. We also found a baPWV decrease of 1 m/s was associated with a 3% decreased risk (HR, 0.97; 95% CI 0.94–0.99) for primary composite events. We further demonstrated that younger than 60 years, non-smoker, non-hypertension, and non-diabetes were associated with improved the AS status. In conclusion, improving AS status may reduce the risk of clinical events. In the future, more research should be performed to explore the target for improving the AS status.