Development of a Nomogram Using the Inflammatory Risk Score for Prognostication in Moderate and Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma Associated with Hepatitis B Virus.

IF 1.9 4区 医学 Q2 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Balkan Medical Journal Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI:10.4274/balkanmedj.galenos.2024.2023-12-8
Hongyao Chen, Renyi Yang, Xiaopeng Yu, Kexiong Li, Peisen Xue, Wei Peng, Puhua Zeng
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Abstract

Background: The changes in risk scores of inflammatory markers among patients diagnosed with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remain unknown.

Aims: To investigate the relationship between the inflammation risk score and other contributing factors and the prognostic outcomes in patients with moderate and advanced hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related HCC.

Study design: A retrospective cohort study.

Methods: A total of 174 patients with moderate and advanced HBV related HCC were recruited to investigate the impact of stratified inflammatory risk scores and other associated risk factors on disease prognosis. Based on the optimal cut-off values calculated by the Youden index, the patients were divided into high-risk and low-risk groups based on their inflammation risk scores.

Results: The study found a significant difference in median survival time between the low-risk and high-risk groups based on the inflammation risk score. Furthermore, the inflammation risk score, alpha-fetoprotein levels, transarterial chemoembolization treatment, and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage were identified as independent prognostic factors. The four variables were used to construct a prognostic nomogram for HCC. Subsequent evaluations using time-dependent receiver operating characteristic analysis and calibration curve tests revealed the nomogram's commendable discriminatory ability. As a result, the nomogram proved to be an effective tool for predicting survival at 2- to 4-years.

Conclusion: The inflammation risk score has been identified as a significant prognostic factor for HBV-related HCC. The development of nomogram models has provided a practical and effective tool for determining the prognosis of patients affected by HBV-related HCC.

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使用炎症风险评分开发用于中度和晚期乙型肝炎病毒相关肝细胞癌诊断的提名图
背景:被诊断为肝细胞癌(HCC)的患者中,炎症标志物风险评分的变化情况仍不清楚:目的:研究与乙型肝炎病毒(HBV)相关的中晚期HCC患者的炎症风险评分和其他诱因与预后结果之间的关系:研究设计:一项回顾性队列研究:方法:共招募了174名中度和晚期HBV相关HCC患者,研究分层炎症风险评分和其他相关风险因素对疾病预后的影响。根据尤登指数计算出的最佳临界值,按照炎症风险评分将患者分为高危和低危两组:结果:研究发现,根据炎症风险评分,低风险组和高危组的中位生存时间存在明显差异。此外,炎症风险评分、甲胎蛋白水平、经动脉化疗栓塞治疗和巴塞罗那临床肝癌分期被确定为独立的预后因素。这四个变量被用于构建 HCC 的预后提名图。随后使用时间依赖性接收者操作特征分析和校准曲线测试进行了评估,结果表明提名图的鉴别能力值得称赞。因此,提名图被证明是预测 2-4 年生存率的有效工具:炎症风险评分已被确定为 HBV 相关 HCC 的重要预后因素。提名图模型的开发为确定 HBV 相关 HCC 患者的预后提供了一个实用而有效的工具。
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来源期刊
Balkan Medical Journal
Balkan Medical Journal MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL-
CiteScore
4.10
自引率
6.70%
发文量
76
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: The Balkan Medical Journal (Balkan Med J) is a peer-reviewed open-access international journal that publishes interesting clinical and experimental research conducted in all fields of medicine, interesting case reports and clinical images, invited reviews, editorials, letters, comments and letters to the Editor including reports on publication and research ethics. The journal is the official scientific publication of the Trakya University Faculty of Medicine, Edirne, Turkey and is printed six times a year, in January, March, May, July, September and November. The language of the journal is English. The journal is based on independent and unbiased double-blinded peer-reviewed principles. Only unpublished papers that are not under review for publication elsewhere can be submitted. Balkan Medical Journal does not accept multiple submission and duplicate submission even though the previous one was published in a different language. The authors are responsible for the scientific content of the material to be published. The Balkan Medical Journal reserves the right to request any research materials on which the paper is based. The Balkan Medical Journal encourages and enables academicians, researchers, specialists and primary care physicians of Balkan countries to publish their valuable research in all branches of medicine. The primary aim of the journal is to publish original articles with high scientific and ethical quality and serve as a good example of medical publications in the Balkans as well as in the World.
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