On the (Im-)Possibility of Representing Probability Distributions as a Difference of I.I.D. Noise Terms

IF 1.4 3区 数学 Q2 MATHEMATICS, APPLIED Mathematics of Operations Research Pub Date : 2024-03-07 DOI:10.1287/moor.2023.0081
Christian Ewerhart, Marco Serena
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Abstract

A random variable is difference-form decomposable (DFD) if it may be written as the difference of two i.i.d. random terms. We show that densities of such variables exhibit a remarkable degree of structure. Specifically, a DFD density can be neither approximately uniform, nor quasiconvex, nor strictly concave. On the other hand, a DFD density need, in general, be neither unimodal nor logconcave. Regarding smoothness, we show that a compactly supported DFD density cannot be analytic and will often exhibit a kink even if its components are smooth. The analysis highlights the risks for model consistency resulting from the strategy widely adopted in the economics literature of imposing assumptions directly on a difference of noise terms rather than on its components.
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论以 I.I.D. 噪声项之差表示概率分布的(非)可能性
如果一个随机变量可以写成两个 i.i.d. 随机项的差分,那么它就是差分形式可分解变量(DFD)。我们的研究表明,这种变量的密度具有显著的结构性。具体来说,DFD 密度既不是近似均匀的,也不是准凸的,更不是严格凹的。另一方面,DFD 密度一般既不需要是单模态的,也不需要是对数凹的。关于平滑性,我们证明了紧凑支撑的 DFD 密度不可能是解析的,即使其分量是平滑的,也会经常出现扭结。分析强调了经济学文献中广泛采用的策略对模型一致性的风险,即直接对噪声项的差值而非其组成部分施加假设。
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来源期刊
Mathematics of Operations Research
Mathematics of Operations Research 管理科学-应用数学
CiteScore
3.40
自引率
5.90%
发文量
178
审稿时长
15.0 months
期刊介绍: Mathematics of Operations Research is an international journal of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS). The journal invites articles concerned with the mathematical and computational foundations in the areas of continuous, discrete, and stochastic optimization; mathematical programming; dynamic programming; stochastic processes; stochastic models; simulation methodology; control and adaptation; networks; game theory; and decision theory. Also sought are contributions to learning theory and machine learning that have special relevance to decision making, operations research, and management science. The emphasis is on originality, quality, and importance; correctness alone is not sufficient. Significant developments in operations research and management science not having substantial mathematical interest should be directed to other journals such as Management Science or Operations Research.
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