Recovering from natural disaster through exports: The case of 2010 Pakistan flood and EU tariff waiver on Pakistan textile exports

Arusha Ijaz, Jisang Yu
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Abstract

The objective of this study is to estimate the impact of a unilateral tariff waiver to Pakistan from the EU, intended as a relief package after the 2010 floods, on cotton exports and production in the country. We use the Synthetic Control Method and the Interactive Fixed Effects Counterfactual Estimator to assess the impact of the 2010 flood and the 2012 tariff waiver. Our findings suggest that the 2010 flood in Pakistan and the subsequent 2012 tariff waiver had limited impacts on cotton exports and production in Pakistan.

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通过出口从自然灾害中恢复:2010 年巴基斯坦洪灾和欧盟对巴基斯坦纺织品出口的关税豁免案例
本研究的目的是估算欧盟在 2010 年洪灾后向巴基斯坦提供的单边关税减免对该国棉花出口和生产的影响。我们使用合成控制法和互动固定效应反事实估计法来评估 2010 年洪灾和 2012 年关税豁免的影响。我们的研究结果表明,2010 年巴基斯坦洪灾和随后的 2012 年关税减免对巴基斯坦棉花出口和生产的影响有限。
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