Changes in heart transplant outcomes of elderly patients in the new allocation era.

Abstract

Objective: Studies demonstrate that heart transplantation can be performed safely in septuagenarians. We evaluate the outcomes of septuagenarians undergoing heart transplantation after the US heart allocation change in 2018.

Methods: The United Network for Organ Sharing registry was used to identify heart transplant recipients aged 70 years or more between 2010 and 2021. Primary outcomes were 90-day and 1-year mortality. Kaplan-Meier, multivariable Cox proportional hazards, and accelerated failure time models were used for unadjusted and risk-adjusted analyses.

Results: A total of 27,403 patients underwent heart transplantation, with 1059 (3.9%) aged 70 years or more. Patients aged 70 years or more increased from 3.7% before 2018 to 4.5% after 2018 (P = .003). Patients aged 70 years or more before 2018 had comparable 90-day and 1-year survivals relative to patients aged less than 70 years (90 days: 93.8% vs 94.2%, log-rank P = .650; 1 year: 89.4% vs 91.1%, log-rank P = .130). After 2018, septuagenarians had lower 90-day and 1-year survivals (90 days: 91.4% vs 95.0%, log-rank P = .021; 1 year: 86.5% vs 90.9%, log-rank P = .018). Risk-adjusted analysis showed comparable 90-day mortality (hazard ratio, 1.29; 0.94-1.76, P = .110) but worse 1-year mortality (hazard ratio, 1.32; 1.03-1.68, P = .028) before policy change. After policy change, both 90-day and 1-year mortalities were higher (90 days: HR, 1.99; 1.23-3.22, P = .005; 1 year: hazard ratio, 1.71; 1.14-2.56, P = .010). An accelerated failure time model showed comparable 90-day (0.42; 0.16-1.44; P = .088) and 1-year (0.48; 0.18-1.26; P = .133) survival postallocation change.

Conclusions: Septuagenarians comprise a greater proportion of heart transplant recipients after the allocation change, and their post-transplant outcomes relative to younger recipients have worsened.