Human mobility reshaped? Deciphering the impacts of the Covid-19 pandemic on activity patterns, spatial habits, and schedule habits

IF 3 2区 计算机科学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS EPJ Data Science Pub Date : 2024-03-22 DOI:10.1140/epjds/s13688-024-00463-4
Mohamed Amine Bouzaghrane, Hassan Obeid, Marta González, Joan Walker
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Abstract

Despite the historically documented regularity in human mobility patterns, the relaxation of spatial and temporal constraints, brought by the widespread adoption of telecommuting and e-commerce during the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as a growing desire for flexible work arrangements in a post-pandemic work, indicates a potential reshaping of these patterns. In this paper, we investigate the multifaceted impacts of relaxed spatio-temporal constraints on human mobility, using well-established metrics from the travel behavior literature. Further, we introduce a novel metric for schedule regularity, accounting for specific day-of-week characteristics that previous approaches overlooked. Building on the large body of literature on the impacts of COVID-19 on human mobility, we make use of passively tracked Point of Interest (POI) data for approximately 21,700 smartphone users in the US, and analyze data between January 2020 and September 2022 to answer two key questions: (1) has the COVID-19 pandemic and its associated relaxation of spatio-temporal activity patterns reshaped the different aspects of human mobility, and (2) have we achieved a state of stable post-pandemic “new normal”? We hypothesize that the relaxation of the spatiotemporal constraints around key activities will result in people exhibiting less regular schedules. Findings reveal a complex landscape: while some mobility indicators have reverted to pre-pandemic norms, such as trip frequency and travel distance, others, notably at-home dwell-time, persist at altered levels, suggesting a recalibration rather than a return to past behaviors. Most notably, our analysis reveals a paradox: despite the documented large-scale shift towards flexible work arrangements, schedule habits have strengthened rather than relaxed, defying our initial hypotheses and highlighting a desire for regularity. The study’s results contribute to a deeper understanding of the post-pandemic “new normal”, offering key insights on how multiple facets of travel behavior were reshaped, if at all, by the COVID-19 pandemic, and will help inform transportation planning in a post-pandemic world.

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人类流动性被重塑?解读 Covid-19 大流行对活动模式、空间习惯和日程安排习惯的影响
尽管有历史记载表明人类的流动模式具有规律性,但在 COVID-19 大流行期间,远程办公和电子商务的广泛应用带来的时空限制的放松,以及在大流行后工作中对灵活工作安排的日益增长的渴望,都表明这些模式有可能发生重塑。在本文中,我们利用旅行行为文献中的成熟指标,研究了放宽时空限制对人类流动性的多方面影响。此外,我们还引入了一种新的衡量标准来衡量日程安排的规律性,以考虑到以往方法所忽略的特定周日特征。在有关 COVID-19 对人类流动性影响的大量文献的基础上,我们利用被动追踪的美国约 21,700 名智能手机用户的兴趣点 (POI) 数据,分析 2020 年 1 月至 2022 年 9 月期间的数据,以回答两个关键问题:(1) COVID-19 大流行及其相关的时空活动模式的放松是否重塑了人类流动性的不同方面;(2) 我们是否实现了大流行后 "新常态 "的稳定状态?我们假设,主要活动的时空限制的放松将导致人们的日程安排不再那么有规律。研究结果揭示了一种复杂的情况:虽然一些流动性指标已恢复到大流行前的标准,如出行频率和出行距离,但其他指标,特别是在家逗留时间,仍保持在改变的水平上,这表明是一种重新校准,而不是恢复到过去的行为。最值得注意的是,我们的分析揭示了一个悖论:尽管有记录显示,人们大规模转向灵活的工作安排,但日程安排习惯却没有放松,反而加强了,这与我们最初的假设相悖,凸显了人们对规律性的渴望。本研究的结果有助于加深对大流行后 "新常态 "的理解,提供了有关 COVID-19 大流行如何重塑旅行行为多个方面(如果有的话)的重要见解,并将有助于为大流行后世界的交通规划提供信息。
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来源期刊
EPJ Data Science
EPJ Data Science MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS -
CiteScore
6.10
自引率
5.60%
发文量
53
审稿时长
13 weeks
期刊介绍: EPJ Data Science covers a broad range of research areas and applications and particularly encourages contributions from techno-socio-economic systems, where it comprises those research lines that now regard the digital “tracks” of human beings as first-order objects for scientific investigation. Topics include, but are not limited to, human behavior, social interaction (including animal societies), economic and financial systems, management and business networks, socio-technical infrastructure, health and environmental systems, the science of science, as well as general risk and crisis scenario forecasting up to and including policy advice.
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