The scorching temperatures shock effect on firms’ performance: a global perspective

IF 1.9 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-03-21 DOI:10.1007/s11156-024-01247-7
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Abstract

The authors examined the possible adverse effect of hot temperature on firms’ profitability and stock performance, using measures of various scorching temperature variables as exogenous indicators of firms’ weather risk. The results show that scorching temperatures led to declines in the sample firms’ earnings caused by changes in sales, expenses, and productivity. The more extreme the hot weather, the more the earnings declined. In further investigations, the authors found that this impact of scorching temperatures was heterogeneous over time and across sectors, geographical locations, and levels of economic development. The impact was most severe in low-latitude regions, especially tropical and subtropical countries from 2013 onward. It was also found that extremely hot temperatures negatively influenced the stock returns of individual firms. This effect, mediated by the firm’s earnings, was especially strong for value stocks and small cap stocks. Our results also show that the firms’ profitability and stock performance are exacerbated by the increases in global average temperatures and provide the direct evidences of the adverse impact of global warming on individual firms. Finally, weather uncertainty aggravated the volatility of earnings and stock returns.

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高温冲击对企业绩效的影响:全球视角
摘要 作者利用各种高温变量作为企业天气风险的外生指标,研究了高温对企业盈利能力和股票表现可能产生的不利影响。结果表明,高温导致样本公司的盈利下降,原因是销售、支出和生产率发生了变化。高温天气越极端,收益下降越多。在进一步调查中,作者发现,高温酷暑的影响在不同时期、不同行业、不同地理位置和不同经济发展水平之间存在差异。这种影响在低纬度地区最为严重,尤其是在 2013 年以后的热带和亚热带国家。研究还发现,极端炎热的气温对单个公司的股票回报率产生了负面影响。这种影响以公司盈利为中介,对价值股和小盘股的影响尤为明显。我们的研究结果还表明,全球平均气温的升高加剧了公司的盈利能力和股票表现,为全球变暖对单个公司的不利影响提供了直接证据。最后,天气的不确定性加剧了盈利和股票回报的波动。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.20
自引率
17.60%
发文量
87
期刊介绍: Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting deals with research involving the interaction of finance with accounting, economics, and quantitative methods, focused on finance and accounting. The papers published present useful theoretical and methodological results with the support of interesting empirical applications. Purely theoretical and methodological research with the potential for important applications is also published. Besides the traditional high-quality theoretical and empirical research in finance, the journal also publishes papers dealing with interdisciplinary topics.
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