Hemispherically symmetric strategies for stratospheric aerosol injection

IF 7.9 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Earth System Dynamics Pub Date : 2024-03-13 DOI:10.5194/esd-15-191-2024
Yan Zhang, D. MacMartin, D. Visioni, E. Bednarz, Ben Kravitz
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Abstract

Abstract. Stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI) comes with a wide range of possible design choices, such as the location and timing of the injection. Different stratospheric aerosol injection strategies can yield different climate responses; therefore, understanding the range of possible climate outcomes is crucial to making informed future decisions on SAI, along with the consideration of other factors. Yet, to date, there has been no systematic exploration of a broad range of SAI strategies. This limits the ability to determine which effects are robust across different strategies and which depend on specific injection choices. This study systematically explores how the choice of SAI strategy affects climate responses in one climate model. Here, we introduce four hemispherically symmetric injection strategies, all of which are designed to maintain the same global mean surface temperature: an annual injection at the Equator (EQ), an annual injection of equal amounts of SO2 at 15° N and 15° S (15N+15S), an annual injection of equal amounts of SO2 at 30° N and 30° S (30N+30S), and a polar injection strategy that injects equal amounts of SO2 at 60° N and 60° S only during spring in each hemisphere (60N+60S). We compare these four hemispherically symmetric SAI strategies with a more complex injection strategy that injects different quantities of SO2 at 30° N, 15° N, 15° S, and 30° S in order to maintain not only the global mean surface temperature but also its large-scale horizontal gradients. All five strategies are simulated using version 2 of the Community Earth System Model with the middle atmosphere version of the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate model, version 6, as the atmospheric component, CESM2(WACCM6-MA), with the global warming scenario, Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP)2-4.5. We find that the choice of SAI strategy affects the spatial distribution of aerosol optical depths, injection efficiency, and various surface climate responses. In addition, injecting in the subtropics produces more global cooling per unit injection, with the EQ and the 60N+60S cases requiring, respectively, 59 % and 50 % more injection than the 30N+30S case to meet the same global mean temperature target. Injecting at higher latitudes results in larger Equator-to-pole temperature gradients. While all five strategies restore Arctic September sea ice, the high-latitude injection strategy is more effective due to the SAI-induced cooling occurring preferentially at higher latitudes. These results suggest trade-offs wherein different strategies appear better or worse, depending on which metrics are deemed important.
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平流层气溶胶注入的半球对称战略
摘要平流层气溶胶注入(SAI)有多种可能的设计选择,如注入的位置和时间。不同的平流层气溶胶注入策略会产生不同的气候响应;因此,了解可能的气候结果范围对于未来就气溶胶注入做出明智决策以及考虑其他因素至关重要。然而,迄今为止,还没有对各种 SAI 策略进行过系统的探索。这就限制了确定哪些效应在不同战略中是稳健的,以及哪些效应取决于具体的注入选择的能力。本研究在一个气候模式中系统地探讨了 SAI 策略的选择如何影响气候响应。在这里,我们引入了四种半球对称注入策略,所有这些策略都是为了维持相同的全球平均表面温度:每年在赤道注入(EQ),每年在北纬 15°和南纬 15°注入等量的二氧化硫(15N+15S),每年在北纬 30°和南纬 30°注入等量的二氧化硫(30N+30S),以及一种极地注入策略,即只在北纬 60°和南纬 60°的春季各注入等量的二氧化硫(60N+60S)。我们将这四种半球对称的 SAI 策略与一种更复杂的注入策略进行了比较,该策略在北纬 30°、北纬 15°、南纬 15°和南纬 30°注入不同数量的二氧化硫,以维持全球平均表面温度及其大尺度水平梯度。所有五种策略都是利用共同体地球系统模型第 2 版,以全大气共同体气候模型第 6 版的中间大气版本 CESM2(WACCM6-MA)作为大气成分,在全球变暖情景共享社会经济路径(SSP)2-4.5 下进行模拟的。我们发现,SAI 策略的选择会影响气溶胶光学深度的空间分布、注入效率以及各种地表气候响应。此外,在亚热带注入气溶胶会产生更多的单位注入量全球降温效应,要达到相同的全球平均气温目标,EQ 和 60N+60S 情况比 30N+30S 情况分别需要多注入 59% 和 50%的气溶胶。在更高纬度注入会导致更大的赤道到极点温度梯度。虽然所有五种策略都能恢复北极九月的海冰,但高纬度注入策略更为有效,因为 SAI 引起的降温优先发生在高纬度地区。这些结果表明,不同的策略有好有坏,这取决于哪些指标被认为是重要的。
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来源期刊
Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY-
CiteScore
13.20
自引率
5.50%
发文量
61
审稿时长
36 weeks
期刊介绍: Earth System Dynamics (ESD) is a not-for-profit international scientific journal committed to publishing and facilitating public discussion on interdisciplinary studies focusing on the Earth system and global change. The journal explores the intricate interactions among Earth's component systems, including the atmosphere, cryosphere, hydrosphere, oceans, pedosphere, lithosphere, and the influence of life and human activity. ESD welcomes contributions that delve into these interactions, their conceptualization, modeling, quantification, predictions of global change impacts, and their implications for Earth's habitability, humanity, and the future dynamics in the Anthropocene.
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