Regional trends in the number of COVID-19 cases

Pub Date : 2024-03-12 DOI:10.1007/s10015-024-00938-7
Keisuke Chujo, Tatsunori Seki, Toshiki Murata, Yu Kimura, Tomoaki Sakurai, Satoshi Miyata, Hiroyasu Inoue, Nobuyasu Ito
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Abstract

In this study, we analysed the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases data to investigate the regional infection trends in Japan. There had been seven outbreaks by October 2022 in Japan. In each outbreak, the number of COVID-19 cases has increased at different rates in different regions. The prefectural infection ratio is defined using COVID-19 cases data. We calculate the prefectural infection ratio and study the characteristic of each pandemic wave. The prefectural order of infection progression is estimated in each past wave of the COVID-19 pandemic. This study shows that the infection spread from the Kanto region in the fourth pandemic wave and the infection spread simultaneously from four regions in the sixth wave. It is also found that the infection situation trend in Okinawa differs from that in the other regions.

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COVID-19 病例数量的地区趋势
本研究分析了新型冠状病毒病(COVID-19)病例数据,以调查日本的地区感染趋势。截至 2022 年 10 月,日本共爆发了七次疫情。在每次疫情爆发中,不同地区的 COVID-19 病例数都以不同的速度增长。都道府县感染率是根据 COVID-19 病例数据定义的。我们计算都道府县感染率,并研究每次大流行的特点。我们估算了 COVID-19 在过去每一次大流行中的都道府县感染进展顺序。研究结果表明,在第四波大流行中,感染从关东地区扩散,在第六波大流行中,感染同时从四个地区扩散。研究还发现,冲绳的感染情况趋势与其他地区有所不同。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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