Local Climate Change Induced by Urbanization on a South China Sea Island

Yu Hao, Lei Li, Pak-wai Chan, Wei Sun, Yong-jiu Dai
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Abstract

: The South China Sea is a hotspot for regional climate research. Over the past 40 years, considerable improvement has been made in the development and utilization of the islands in the South China Sea, leading to a substantial change in the land-use of the islands. However, research on the impact of human development on the local climate of these islands is lacking. This study analyzed the characteristics of local climate changes on the islands in the South China Sea based on data from the Yongxing Island Observation Station and ERA5 re-analysis. Furthermore, the influence of urbanization on the local climate of the South China Sea islands was explored in this study. The findings revealed that the 10-year average temperature in Yongxing Island increased by approximately 1.11 °C from 1961 to 2020, and the contribution of island development and urbanization to the local warming rate over 60 years was approximately 36.2%. The linear increasing trend of the annual hot days from 1961–2020 was approximately 14.84 days per decade. The diurnal temperature range exhibited an increasing trend of 0.05 °C per decade, whereas the number of cold days decreased by 1.06 days per decade. The rapid increase in construction on Yongxing Island from 2005 to 2021 led to a decrease in observed surface wind speed by 0.32 m s –1 per decade. Consequently, the number of days with strong winds decreased, whereas the number of days with weak winds increased. Additionally, relative humidity exhibited a rapid decline from 2001 to 2016 and then rebounded. The study also found substantial differences between the ERA5 re-analysis and observation data, particularly in wind speed and relative humidity, indicating that the use of re-analysis data for climate resource assessment and climate change evaluation on island areas may not be feasible.
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南海岛屿城市化引发的局部气候变化
:南海是区域气候研究的热点地区。近 40 年来,南海诸岛的开发利用取得了长足进步,岛屿的土地利用发生了巨大变化。然而,有关人类发展对这些岛屿局部气候影响的研究却十分缺乏。本研究基于永兴岛观测站和ERA5再分析数据,分析了南海诸岛局地气候变化的特征。此外,本研究还探讨了城市化对南海诸岛局地气候的影响。研究结果表明,从1961年到2020年,永兴岛10年平均气温上升了约1.11℃,60年间岛屿开发和城市化对当地气候变暖率的贡献率约为36.2%。1961-2020年,年高温日数呈线性增加趋势,每十年增加约14.84天。昼夜温差呈每十年上升 0.05 ℃的趋势,而寒冷日数则每十年减少 1.06 天。2005 至 2021 年间,永兴岛上的建筑迅速增加,导致观测到的地表风速每十年下降了 0.32 米-秒-1。因此,强风日数减少,而弱风日数增加。此外,相对湿度从 2001 年到 2016 年出现了快速下降,随后又出现了反弹。研究还发现,ERA5 再分析数据与观测数据之间存在巨大差异,尤其是在风速和相对湿度方面,这表明在岛屿地区使用再分析数据进行气候资源评估和气候变化评价可能并不可行。
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