Statistical Characteristics and Synoptic Patterns of Convection Initiation over the Middle Reaches of the Yangtze River Basin as Observed Using the Fengyun-4A Satellite

Shanshan Li, Xiaofang Wang, Jianhua Sun, Zheng Ma, Yuanchun Zhang, Yuan Gao, Yang Hu, Wengang Zhang
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Abstract

Convection initiations (CIs) observed using the advanced geosynchronous radiation imager on the Chinese Fengyun-4A satellite were identified over the middle reaches of the Yangtze River basin during warm season (May–September) of 2018–21. A hybrid objective tracking algorithm combining the conventional area overlapping with the Kalman filter method was applied. Subsequently, spatial and temporal variations in the identified CIs and their synoptic circulation patterns were analyzed. The frequency of CIs was highest in August and lowest in May. Nearly 81% of CIs occurred during noon–afternoon (1100–1859 LST), with the highest frequency in the southern mountains of the study region, whereas the CIs with relatively low frequency moved to the plains from afternoon to morning (1700–1059 LST). The diurnal variation of CIs throughout the study region exhibited a unimodal structure, with a peak appearing at noon (1200–1259 LST). CIs during noon–afternoon in July and August had faster cloud-top cooling rates. The synoptic circulations without tropical cyclones during noon–afternoon hours were classified into four patterns by hierarchical clustering; two dominant patterns (i.e., SW-Flows and S-Flows) had broader areas of higher most unstable convective available potential energy (MUCAPE), whereas the 0–3-km shear (SHR3) was the weakest in the S-Flows pattern. It was clear that the high-frequency areas of CIs were most likely to occur in stronger MUCAPE and weaker SHR3 environments, and CIs were more controlled by thermally unstable environments. We further illustrated that CIs tend to concentrate in unstable and moisture flux convergence areas affected by mountains.
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利用风云四号 A 卫星观测到的长江流域中游对流发生的统计特征和同步模式
利用中国风云四号A卫星上的先进地球同步辐射成像仪观测到的对流起始点(CIs),确定了2018-21年暖季(5月-9月)长江流域中游上空的对流起始点。应用了传统区域重叠法与卡尔曼滤波法相结合的混合目标跟踪算法。随后,分析了识别出的 CIs 的时空变化及其同步环流模式。CIs 出现频率在 8 月最高,5 月最低。近 81% 的 CIs 出现在中午至下午时段(1100-1859 LST),研究区域南部山区的 CIs 出现频率最高,而频率相对较低的 CIs 则在下午至上午时段(1700-1059 LST)向平原移动。整个研究区域的 CIs 日变化呈现单峰结构,峰值出现在中午(1200-1259 LST)。7 月和 8 月中午至下午的 CIs 云顶冷却速度较快。中午至下午时段无热带气旋的同步环流通过分层聚类分为四种模式;两种主导模式(即西南气流和西南气流)具有较宽的最不稳定对流可用势能(MUCAPE)区域,而在西南气流模式中,0-3 公里切变(SHR3)最弱。很明显,CIs 的高频区域最有可能出现在 MUCAPE 较强和 SHR3 较弱的环境中,而且 CIs 更受热不稳定环境的控制。我们进一步说明,CIs 往往集中在受山脉影响的不稳定和水汽通量辐合区。
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