Are Indian ports safe? Identifying, analysing and prioritizing the risks affecting India's major ports

IF 3.9 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Maritime Transport Research Pub Date : 2024-06-01 Epub Date: 2024-04-05 DOI:10.1016/j.martra.2024.100108
Shambhu Sajith , Totakura Bangar Raju , RS Aswani
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Abstract

Seaports are exposed to multiple risks that may affect security and operations. This research aims to develop a framework for identifying, ranking, and prioritizing the risks. Also, this study ranks the 12 major Indian ports based on the identified risk factors. The study follows an extensive literature review, prioritization by Fuzzy TOPSIS (Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution), and sensitivity analysis for robustness. Thirty-two risks were identified and classified into five categories: natural disasters, geographical risks, security risks, operational and financial risks, and socio-political risks. The analysis suggests that the most important risk that the ports in India should consider is natural disasters. The risk of cyclones and tsunamis occupied the first two ranks among the global risks. Operational and financial risks, such as complex and lengthy approval procedures and infrastructure risks, are ranked third and fourth. Mumbai is ranked first as the riskiest Indian port, followed by Kolkata, JNPT (Jawaharlal Nehru Port Trust), and Vishakapatnam Port

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印度港口安全吗?确定、分析和优先处理影响印度主要港口的风险
海港面临着可能影响安全和运营的多种风险。本研究旨在制定一个框架,用于识别风险、对风险进行排序并确定优先次序。此外,本研究还根据识别出的风险因素对印度的 12 个主要港口进行了排名。本研究采用了广泛的文献综述、模糊 TOPSIS(与理想解决方案相似度排序技术)优先排序以及稳健性敏感性分析。确定了 32 项风险,并将其分为五类:自然灾害、地理风险、安全风险、运营和财务风险以及社会政治风险。分析表明,印度港口应考虑的最重要风险是自然灾害。在全球风险中,气旋和海啸风险占据了前两位。运营和财务风险,如复杂冗长的审批程序和基础设施风险,分列第三和第四位。孟买是印度风险最大的港口,排名第一,其次是加尔各答、JNPT(贾瓦哈拉尔-尼赫鲁港口信托)和维沙卡帕特南港。
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