A Note on the Nonlinearities of Brazilian Monetary Policy

F. Mansilla, Elano Ferreira Arruda, Roberto Tatiwa Ferreira
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Abstract

This note analyzes the occurrence of asymmetry in Brazilian monetary policy considering distinct inflation levels. For this purpose, we use data with monthly frequency between 2003 and 2021 and a nonlinear Taylor rule. The results indicate that under the low inflation scenario, the impact of the deviation of inflation expectations to the target is statistically insignificant, revealing a preference by the monetary authority for price stability. Besides, there is a smoothing process in the conduction of Brazilian monetary policy, and the economic activity and the exchange rate are not statistically significant in the central bank reaction function during the period studied.
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关于巴西货币政策非线性的说明
本说明分析了巴西货币政策在考虑不同通胀水平时出现的不对称现象。为此,我们使用了 2003 年至 2021 年的月度数据和非线性泰勒规则。结果表明,在低通胀情况下,通胀预期偏离目标的影响在统计上并不显著,这揭示了货币当局对价格稳定的偏好。此外,巴西货币政策的传导存在一个平滑过程,在研究期间,经济活动和汇率在中央银行反应函数中没有统计意义。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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