Temporal Variability of Rainfall and Trend Analysis of Melloulou Watershed in Morocco

Bertal Yassine, Ben Brahim Youssef
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Abstract

This paper focuses on analyzing the temporal variability of rainfall and rainfall trends using a statistical analysis of rainfall data in the Melloulou watershed for a half-century chronicle (1970-2020). The objective of this study is to extract all the rainfall characteristics and the rainfall variability during this period to determine the rainfall trends. The working method is based on a statistical approach to detect the climatic characteristics of the Melloulou basin. The study of the standardized precipitation index (SPI) and the rainfall deficit index (RDI) showed the alternation of very long dry periods with wet periods. The Mann-Kendall test under the RStudio also showed a decreasing rainfall trend.
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摩洛哥梅卢卢流域降雨量的时变性和趋势分析
本文主要通过对梅卢卢流域半个世纪(1970-2020 年)的降雨数据进行统计分析,分析降雨的时间变异性和降雨趋势。本研究的目的是提取这一时期的所有降雨特征和降雨变化,从而确定降雨趋势。工作方法是基于统计方法来检测梅卢卢流域的气候特征。对标准化降水量指数(SPI)和降水量不足指数(RDI)的研究表明,很长的干旱期与湿润期交替出现。RStudio 下的 Mann-Kendall 检验也显示降雨量呈下降趋势。
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