Relationship between education and fertility preferences in Mexico: Lessons from Italy

Fatima Juárez, A. De Rose, Maria Rita Testa
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Abstract

Education is an important determinant of reproductive preferences. However, few studies have explored the evolution of its role in countries with different levels of fertility transition, due to the lack of adequate data. In this paper, we analyze the role of education as a determinant of fertility preferences in Mexico, a country which is rapidly approaching the end of fertility transition, albeit with substantial differences between different areas of the country. Using survey data, we contrast the results with evidence from a very low fertility country, Italy. The results indicate a persistent negative correlation between fertility preferences and educational levels in Mexico. However, a more detailed analysis at the territorial level reveals that in the most developed regions—such as Mexico City—the relationship is going into reverse, with more educated women showing a greater willingness to having another child, similarly to Italy, where higher levels of education have a positive effect on fertility intentions.
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墨西哥教育与生育偏好之间的关系:意大利的经验教训
教育是生育偏好的一个重要决定因素。然而,由于缺乏足够的数据,很少有研究探讨教育在不同生育转型水平国家的作用演变。在本文中,我们分析了墨西哥教育作为生育偏好决定因素的作用,尽管该国不同地区之间存在巨大差异,但该国正迅速接近生育转型的末期。利用调查数据,我们将结果与一个生育率非常低的国家--意大利的证据进行了对比。结果表明,墨西哥的生育偏好与教育水平之间持续存在负相关。然而,在地区层面进行的更详细分析显示,在最发达地区(如墨西哥城),这种关系正在逆转,受教育程度较高的妇女更愿意再生一个孩子,这与意大利的情况类似,在意大利,受教育程度越高,生育意愿越强。
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