STILL DIRTY: THE EFFECT OF GLOBAL RISKS AND DEVELOPMENT ON FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT INFLOW

M. Kaukab
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Abstract

There needs to be more research on the global risks and developmental determinants of foreign direct investment inflow with green investment campaigns. This article presents new evidence covering 116 countries (2018–2020) using least squares regression. We show that ceteris paribus, higher perceived environmental and geopolitical risks are more likely to increase foreign direct investment. We also find that lower business environment, safety and security, and environmental sustainability increase foreign direct investment inflow. Meanwhile, foreign investment inflow increased positively according to price competitiveness, infrastructure quality, and natural resources. One development variable, information, and communication technology readiness, becomes significant when the analysis is performed only on developing countries. Economic risks, societal risks, technological risks, health and hygiene, human resources, and international openness are not significantly affecting investment inflow. An insightful theoretical implication regarding the finding is that some supports exist for the pollution haven hypothesis. Implications for practice include creating supportive policies that appreciate sustainable practices, such that investors are attracted to the country not as opportunistic polluters but as sustainability pioneers.
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依然肮脏:全球风险与发展对外国直接投资流入的影响
在绿色投资运动的推动下,需要对外国直接投资流入的全球风险和发展决定因素进行更多研究。本文利用最小二乘法回归,提出了涵盖 116 个国家(2018-2020 年)的新证据。我们表明,在同等条件下,感知到的环境和地缘政治风险越高,外商直接投资越有可能增加。我们还发现,较低的商业环境、安全保障和环境可持续性会增加外商直接投资流入。同时,价格竞争力、基础设施质量和自然资源也会增加外商直接投资流入量。当仅对发展中国家进行分析时,一个发展变量--信息和通信技术准备程度--变得非常重要。经济风险、社会风险、技术风险、健康与卫生、人力资源和国际开放度对投资流入的影响不大。该研究结果的一个深刻理论含义是,污染天堂假说存在一些支持因素。对实践的启示包括制定支持性政策,赞赏可持续发展的做法,从而使投资者不是作为机会主义的污染者,而是作为可持续发展的先行者被吸引到该国。
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