Can International Business Perspective Measure Sustainable Development of BRICS Countries? A Panel Data Analysis

Piyali Roy Chowdhury, Indrajit Ghosal, Monika Arora
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Abstract

The level of international business is highly dependent on the numerous macroeconomic and sustainable development factors that play their respective roles in defining a developing nation's economic progress. While examining the long-term growth of an economy, the consistency of the performance of the various elements in terms of their sustainability is a crucial matter to investigate. Moreover, it is known that the sustainable development of an economy is strongly associated with environmental impacts. Finally, the focus on new development patterns must be the highest concern for emerging economies. Considering this, the current study speculates on the relationship between foreign direct investment and the interaction effect of carbon emissions and poverty with control variables such as per capita income and education in BRICS economies. It concentrates on panel data ranging from 1993 to 2019 to explore the association among the said variables.  It identifies the unique and definite macroeconomic parameters that are crucial for encouraging foreign direct investment in different countries. Applying the Panel Auto Regressive Distributed Lag Model, the study finds a positive interaction effect between carbon emissions and poverty that focuses on improving foreign direct investment in the long run. In the short run, an increase in per capita income always proves that BRICS will demonstrate less dependence on FDI net flows. The study also concentrates on the unit root measurement of the data by applying Panel Unit Root Test.  Finally, to check the direction of causality, Pairwise Dumitrescu Hurlin Panel Causality Tests have been performed. The most recent update from these countries demonstrates that the strategy for achieving future sustainable economic growth is clear and swift. Hence, it emphasises the requirement of separate and exclusive policy-making to promote long-term sustainable economic growth in BRICS.
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国际商业视角能否衡量金砖国家的可持续发展?面板数据分析
国际商业水平在很大程度上取决于众多宏观经济和可持续发展因素,这些因素在确定发展中国家的经济进步方面发挥着各自的作用。在研究一个经济体的长期增长时,各种因素在可持续性方面的表现是否一致是一个至关重要的问题。此外,众所周知,经济的可持续发展与环境影响密切相关。最后,关注新的发展模式必须是新兴经济体最关心的问题。有鉴于此,本研究推测了金砖五国经济中外国直接投资与碳排放和贫困的交互效应之间的关系,以及人均收入和教育等控制变量。研究集中于 1993 年至 2019 年的面板数据,以探讨上述变量之间的关联。 它确定了对鼓励不同国家的外国直接投资至关重要的独特而明确的宏观经济参数。应用面板自回归分布滞后模型,研究发现碳排放与贫困之间存在正向交互效应,从长期来看,这对改善外国直接投资至关重要。在短期内,人均收入的增加总是证明金砖国家对外国直接投资净流量的依赖程度会降低。本研究还采用面板单位根检验法对数据进行单位根计量。 最后,为了检验因果关系的方向,还进行了成对杜米特里斯库-胡林面板因果关系检验。这些国家的最新情况表明,实现未来可持续经济增长的战略是明确而迅速的。因此,它强调了单独和排他性决策的要求,以促进金砖国家长期可持续的经济增长。
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